| bloomberg financial conditions index: The Economic Indicator Handbook Richard Yamarone, 2016-12-14 Analyze key indicators more accurately to make smarter market moves The Economic Indicator Handbook helps investors more easily evaluate economic trends, to better inform investment decision making and other key strategic financial planning. Written by a Bloomberg Senior Economist, this book presents a visual distillation of the indicators every investor should follow, with clear explanation of how they're measured, what they mean, and how that should inform investment thinking. The focus on graphics, professional application, Bloomberg terminal functionality, and practicality makes this guide a quick, actionable read that could immediately start improving investment outcomes. Coverage includes gross domestic product, employment data, industrial production, new residential construction, consumer confidence, retail and food service sales, and commodities, plus guidance on the secret indicators few economists know or care about. Past performance can predict future results – if you know how to read the indicators. Modern investing requires a careful understanding of the macroeconomic forces that lift and topple markets on a regular basis, and how they shift to move entire economies. This book is a visual guide to recognizing these forces and tracking their behavior, helping investors identify entry and exit points that maximize profit and minimize loss. Quickly evaluate economic trends Make more informed investment decisions Understand the most essential indicators Translate predictions into profitable actions Savvy market participants know how critical certain indicators are to the formulation of a profitable, effective market strategy. A daily indicator check can inform day-to-day investing, and long-term tracking can result in a stronger, more robust portfolio. For the investor who knows that better information leads to better outcomes, The Economic Indicator Handbook is an exceptionally useful resource. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: A Financial Conditions Index for South Africa Mr.Nombulelo Gumata, Nir Klein, Mr.Eliphas Ndou, 2012-08-01 The main purpose of this paper is to construct a financial conditions index (FCI) for South Africa. The analysis extracts the index by applying two alternative approaches (principal component analysis and Kalman filter), which identify an unobservable common factor from a group of external and domestic financial indicators. The alternative estimated FCIs, which share a similar trajectory over time, seem to have a powerful predictive information for the near-term GDP growth (up to four quarters), and they outperform the South African Reserve Bank’s (SARB) leading indicator as well as individual financial variables. Their recent dynamics suggest that following a strong recovery in late-2009 and 2010, reflecting in part domestic factors such as systematic reductions in the policy rate, the rebound in real economic activity, and a benign inflationary environment, the financial conditions have deteriorated in recent months, though not as sharply as in end-2008. Given their relatively high predictive power regarding GDP growth, a further deterioration may imply that economic activity is likely to slow in the period ahead. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: Global Financial Stability Report, October 2019 International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department, 2019-10-16 The October 2019 Global Financial Stability Report (GFSR) identifies the current key vulnerabilities in the global financial system as the rise in corporate debt burdens, increasing holdings of riskier and more illiquid assets by institutional investors, and growing reliance on external borrowing by emerging and frontier market economies. The report proposes that policymakers mitigate these risks through stricter supervisory and macroprudential oversight of firms, strengthened oversight and disclosure for institutional investors, and the implementation of prudent sovereign debt management practices and frameworks for emerging and frontier market economies. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: Global Financial Stability Report, April 2024 International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department, 2024-04-16 Chapter 1 documents that near-term global financial stability risks have receded amid expectations that global disinflation is entering its last mile. However, along it, there are several salient risks and a build-up of medium-term vulnerabilities. Chapter 2 assesses vulnerabilities and potential risks to financial stability in corporate private credit, a rapidly growing asset class—traditionally focused on providing loans to midsize firms outside the realms of either commercial banks or public debt markets—that now rivals other major credit markets in size. Chapter 3 shows that while cyber incidents have thus far not been systemic, the probability of severe cyber incidents has increased, posing an acute threat to macrofinancial stability. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: The Riskiness of Credit Allocation and Financial Stability Mr.Luis Brandao-Marques, Qianying Chen, Claudio Raddatz, Jérôme Vandenbussche, Peichu Xie, 2019-09-27 We explore empirically how the time-varying allocation of credit across firms with heterogeneous credit quality matters for financial stability outcomes. Using firm-level data for 55 countries over 1991-2016, we show that the riskiness of credit allocation, captured by Greenwood and Hanson (2013)’s ISS indicator, helps predict downside risks to GDP growth and systemic banking crises, two to three years ahead. Our analysis indicates that the riskiness of credit allocation is both a measure of corporate vulnerability and of investor sentiment. Economic forecasters wrongly predict a positive association between the riskiness of credit allocation and future growth, suggesting a flawed expectations process. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: Global Financial Stability Report, April 2016 International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department, 2016-04-11 The current Global Financial Stability Report (April 2016) finds that global financial stability risks have risen since the last report in October 2015. The new report finds that the outlook has deteriorated in advanced economies because of heightened uncertainty and setbacks to growth and confidence, while declines in oil and commodity prices and slower growth have kept risks elevated in emerging markets. These developments have tightened financial conditions, reduced risk appetite, raised credit risks, and stymied balance sheet repair. A broad-based policy response is needed to secure financial stability. Advanced economies must deal with crisis legacy issues, emerging markets need to bolster their resilience to global headwinds, and the resilience of market liquidity should be enhanced. The report also examines financial spillovers from emerging market economies and finds that they have risen substantially. This implies that when assessing macro-financial conditions, policymakers may need to increasingly take into account economic developments in emerging market economies. Finally, the report assesses changes in the systemic importance of insurers, finding that across advanced economies the contribution of life insurers to systemic risk has increased in recent years. The results suggest that supervisors and regulators should take a more macroprudential approach to the sector. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: Beyond the Keynesian Endpoint Anthony Crescenzi, 2012 Since the 1930s, governments have overcome recessions by borrowing and spending to temporarily replace lost consumer and business spending. What happens when they can't do it anymore? In Beyond the Keynesian Endpoint , PIMCO Executive VP Tony Crescenzi offers a sobering tour of today's unprecedented global sovereign debt crisis. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: The Economic Indicator Handbook Richard Yamarone, 2017-01-17 Analyze key indicators more accurately to make smarter market moves The Economic Indicator Handbook helps investors more easily evaluate economic trends, to better inform investment decision making and other key strategic financial planning. Written by a Bloomberg Senior Economist, this book presents a visual distillation of the indicators every investor should follow, with clear explanation of how they're measured, what they mean, and how that should inform investment thinking. The focus on graphics, professional application, Bloomberg terminal functionality, and practicality makes this guide a quick, actionable read that could immediately start improving investment outcomes. Coverage includes gross domestic product, employment data, industrial production, new residential construction, consumer confidence, retail and food service sales, and commodities, plus guidance on the secret indicators few economists know or care about. Past performance can predict future results – if you know how to read the indicators. Modern investing requires a careful understanding of the macroeconomic forces that lift and topple markets on a regular basis, and how they shift to move entire economies. This book is a visual guide to recognizing these forces and tracking their behavior, helping investors identify entry and exit points that maximize profit and minimize loss. Quickly evaluate economic trends Make more informed investment decisions Understand the most essential indicators Translate predictions into profitable actions Savvy market participants know how critical certain indicators are to the formulation of a profitable, effective market strategy. A daily indicator check can inform day-to-day investing, and long-term tracking can result in a stronger, more robust portfolio. For the investor who knows that better information leads to better outcomes, The Economic Indicator Handbook is an exceptionally useful resource. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: Finance in Africa European Investment Bank, 2023-10-11 The Finance in Africa report emphasises the challenges faced by the African banking sector — including the impact of recent shocks, such as the COVID-19 crisis and Russia's invasion of Ukraine — and the importance of gender diversity in business and banking. The report also discusses the need for international support and sustainable finance to advance economic development and climate change in Africa. It provides insights into the financial conditions, banking sector performance, and investment trends in the region. It covers the nature of climate finance flows in Africa and the degree of climate risk on bank balance sheets. With the right measures in place, Africa has the potential to overcome its challenges and unlock its true economic potential. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: Sentiment Indicators Abe Cofnas, 2010-07-13 A practical guide to profiting from the proper use of sentiment indicators In Sentiment Indicators, noted trading expert Abe Cofnas draws on his own trading and training experience as he shares his knowledge about the latest techniques and strategies for using Renko, price break, Kagi, and point and figure tools to successfully analyze all markets. Written with the serious trader in mind, Sentiment Indicators offers key information on these potential-filled tools and how to use each in shaping trading strategies. Along the way, it provides a practical overview of how to implement these little-known indicators and why each can enhance your trading endeavors. Shows how these indicators work in different markets: futures, equities, forex, and others Provides a solid understanding of charting techniques and uses real-world examples to illustrate strategies and tactics Presents new sentiment research that analyzes word mining and what it means for markets From historical context and Robot Trading alerts to the critical factors of a trading system, Sentiment Indicators presents a proven approach to trading that will help you identify conditions that have a high probability of profit. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: The Bloomberg Way Matthew Winkler, 2011-09-28 The definitive guide to reporting and editing the story of money Financial reporting is more important than ever as people grow increasingly aware of how their lives are affected by Wall Street and the federal government. Bloomberg News has earned the respect of journalists and readers around the world for its fast, in-depth and accurate stories. The Bloomberg Way, an internal manual compiled over two decades, reflects the new realities of journalism, in which speed is paramount, the impact of news is instantaneous, and the lines between objectivity and opinion are increasingly blurred. The Bloomberg Way is the most thorough and comprehensive guide to reporting and editing the story of money. This indispensable text for both journalism professionals and students outlines the central principles of Bloomberg News, explaining how to write compelling stories while maintaining standards of accuracy, honesty and ethics. The five F's of reporting: Factual, First, Fastest, Final and Future Word The essentials of writing an enticing lead and organizing story lines when preparing for breaking news on anything from an earnings release to a market crash Ways to keep opinion and speculation out of your writing The Bloomberg Way stylebook is the most important writer's resource of one of the largest news organizations in the world. It informs as it instructs, from how to conduct effective interviews to analyzing financial reports to the imperative for accuracy and integrity in gathering and publishing news. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: Recovery Paths Members Ofterra Firma Community, 2003 Recovery Paths provides a unique insight into individual experiences of recovery from mental illness. People experiencing bipolar mood disorder, schizophrenia, anxiety, depression and eating disorders share their paths of hope for overcoming symptoms, disabilities and stigma to live fulfilled and satisfying lives. This anthology contains a range of remarkable and varied accounts that will challenge and inspire the reader. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: Global Financial Stability Report, April 2018 International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department, 2018-04-18 The April 2018 Global Financial Stability Report (GFSR) finds that short-term risks to financial stability have increased somewhat since the previous GFSR. Medium-term risks are still elevated as financial vulnerabilities, which have built up during the years of accommodative policies, could mean a bumpy road ahead and put growth at risk. This GFSR also examines the short- and medium-term implications for downside risks to growth and financial stability of the riskiness of corporate credit allocation. It documents the cyclical nature of the riskiness of corporate credit allocation at the global and country levels and its sensitivity to financial conditions, lending standards, and policy and institutional settings. Another chapter analyzes whether and how house prices move in tandem across countries and major cities around the world—that is, global house price synchronicity. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: The Paradox of Risk Angel Ubide, 2017-09-01 For decades, economic policymakers have worshipped at the altar of combating inflation, reducing public deficits, and discouraging risky behavior by investors. That mindset made them hesitate when the global financial crisis erupted in 2007–08. In the face of the worst economic disaster in 75 years, they often worried excessively about the risks and possible losses from their actions, rather than moving forcefully to support financial institutions, governments, and people. Ángel Ubide's provocative thesis in Paradox of Risk is that central banks' fear of inflation and risk taking has hampered their efforts to revive global prosperity. In their confusion, he argues, policymakers made the recovery weaker. He calls on world leaders to abandon old shibboleths and learn the lessons from the financial crisis and its sluggish aftermath. Ubide mobilizes a wealth of research on the experience from the last decade, urging policymakers to leave their comfort zone, embrace risk taking, and take bolder action to brighten the world's economic prospects. (The Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI) provided funding for this study). |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: The Trader's Guide to the Euro Area David J. Powell, 2013-08-14 The euro area remains in a state of flux and appears to be unsustainable in its present form. The outcome of the crisis may be unknown for years and a judgement on the project’s success or failure may be out of reach for decades. In the meantime, analysts, portfolio managers and traders will still have daily, weekly, quarterly and annual benchmarks. They will have to analyze economic developments in the euro area and their impacts on financial assets. The objective of this book is to provide a framework for that analysis that is comprehensible to most financial market participants. The book begins with a focus on coincident and leading economic indicators for the euro area. The following section looks at euro-area institutions. The next chapter focuses on the euro crisis. It attempts to provide an explanation of its origins and a glimpse of the potential outcomes. In addition, the tools needed to analyze the crisis as it evolves are presented. The last sections provide information unique to the economies of Germany, France, the U.K., Switzerland, Sweden and Norway. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT, Second Edition PAILWAR, VEENA KESHAV, Designed primarily as a text for undergraduate and postgraduate management and commerce students, this comprehensive and well-organized book equips readers with the knowledge to analyze the domestic and global business environment. The focus of the book is on the assessment of the evolving business scenario using analytical underpinnings and the latest data. This book clearly highlights the implications of changes in business's socio-economic and legal environment. It covers the business environment by tracking changes in national income, inflation, fiscal deficit, money supply, exchange rate, balance of payment, and many other economic variables. Besides, it briefs on legal aspects and deliberates on demographic changes and changes in the technical and natural environment of business. Besides students, practicing managers and policymakers will also find the book a useful reference. KEY FEATURES • Illustrations using the latest data (up to June 2023) • Boxes containing numerical illustrations and technical details • Cases depicting the Indian Business Environment and providing glimpses of the evolving global business environment • Review questions, numerical problems, and case analysis NEW TO THE EDITION • New cases depicting the Indian business environment and glimpses of the world environment. • New case analysis exercises at the end of each chapter. • Boxes comprising numerical illustrations of various concepts to help students understanding the computation of various indicators. • Latest information on the business environment for understating the current environment rather than simply the historical facts. Companion Website: This text is supported by the companion website www.phindia.com/veenapailwar, which contains valuable resources for teachers and study aids for students. Instructors' Resources: To support the teaching efforts, the website contains—Answers to the end of the chapter Numerical Problems with explanation; More than 1000 crisp, clear, and colorful PowerPoint Slides; and more than 1000 Multiple Choice Questions. Students' Resources: To strengthen the understanding of the students on the subject, the website resources comprise— Interactive Multiple Choice Questions and hints for solving chapter-end Numerical Problems TARGET AUDIENCE • MBA • M.Com • B.Com • BBA |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: Multifractal Financial Markets Yasmine Hayek Kobeissi, 2012-07-23 Multifractal Financial Markets explores appropriate models for estimating risk and profiting from market swings, allowing readers to develop enhanced portfolio management skills and strategies. Fractals in finance allow us to understand market instability and persistence. When applied to financial markets, these models produce the requisite amount of data necessary for gauging market risk in order to mitigate loss. This brief delves deep into the multifractal market approach to portfolio management through real-world examples and case studies, providing readers with the tools they need to forecast profound shifts in market activity. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: Gulf Cooperation Council International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept., 2022-11-29 GCC policymakers have managed to quickly mitigate the economic impact of the twin COVID-19 and oil price shock. Commodity prices have surged, and the outlook is more positive for GCC countries, with new challenges linked to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and tighter global financial conditions expected to have a limited impact on GCC economies. While GCC countries have overall benefited from higher, albeit volatile hydrocarbon prices, numerous risks still cloud the outlook—notably a slowdown in the global economy. In this context, the reform momentum established during the low oil price years should be maintained—irrespective of the level of hydrocarbon prices. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: Connectedness and Contagion Hal S. Scott, 2022-11-01 An argument that contagion is the most significant risk facing the financial system and that Dodd¬Frank has reduced the government's ability to respond effectively. The Dodd–Frank Act of 2010 was intended to reform financial policies in order to prevent another massive crisis such as the financial meltdown of 2008. Dodd–Frank is largely premised on the diagnosis that connectedness was the major problem in that crisis—that is, that financial institutions were overexposed to one another, resulting in a possible chain reaction of failures. In this book, Hal Scott argues that it is not connectedness but contagion that is the most significant element of systemic risk facing the financial system. Contagion is an indiscriminate run by short-term creditors of financial institutions that can render otherwise solvent institutions insolvent. It poses a serious risk because, as Scott explains, our financial system still depends on approximately $7.4 to $8.2 trillion of runnable and uninsured short-term liabilities, 60 percent of which are held by nonbanks. Scott argues that efforts by the Federal Reserve, the FDIC, and the Treasury to stop the contagion that exploded after the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers lessened the economic damage. And yet Congress, spurred by the public's aversion to bailouts, has dramatically weakened the power of the government to respond to contagion, including limitations on the Fed's powers as a lender of last resort. Offering uniquely detailed forensic analyses of the Lehman Brothers and AIG failures, and suggesting alternative regulatory approaches, Scott makes the case that we need to restore and strengthen our weapons for fighting contagion. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: Global Financial Stability Report, October 2018 International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department, 2018-10-10 In the 10 years since the global financial crisis, regulatory frameworks have been enhanced and the banking system has become stronger, but new vulnerabilities have emerged, and the resilience of the global financial system has yet to be tested. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: United States International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept., 2013-07-26 This staff report on United States 2013 Article IV Consultation highlights economic policies and development. The economy grew at an annual rate of 1.8 percent in the first quarter of 2013, held down by sharp cuts in public spending, and economic indicators suggest that growth has remained weak in the second quarter of the year. Employment gains averaged about 200,000 over the first half of 2013, up from 180,000 in the previous six months. The unemployment rate continued to fall from its October 2009 peak of 10 percent to 7.6 percent in June 2013, although much of the improvement reflects lower labor force participation. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: Global Financial Stability Report, October 2021 INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND., 2021-10-12 Financial stability risks have been contained so far, reflecting ongoing policy support and a rebound in the global economy earlier this year. Chapter 1 explains that financial conditions have eased further in net in advanced economies but changed little in emerging markets. However, the optimism that propelled markets earlier in the year has faded on growing concerns about the strength of the global recovery, and ongoing supply chain disruptions intensified inflation concerns. Signs of stretched asset valuations in some market segments persist, and pockets of vulnerabilities remain in the nonbank financial sector; recovery is uneven in the corporate sector. Chapter 2 discusses the opportunities and challenges of the crypto ecosystem. Crypto asset providers’ lack of operational or cyber resilience poses risks, and significant data gaps imperil financial integrity. Crypto assets in emerging markets may accelerate dollarization risks. Chapter 3 shows that sustainable funds can support the global transition to a green economy but must be scaled up to have a major impact. It also discusses how a disorderly transition could disrupt the broader investment fund sector in the future. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: Global Financial Stability Report, October 2019 International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department, 2019-10-16 The October 2019 Global Financial Stability Report (GFSR) identifies the current key vulnerabilities in the global financial system as the rise in corporate debt burdens, increasing holdings of riskier and more illiquid assets by institutional investors, and growing reliance on external borrowing by emerging and frontier market economies. The report proposes that policymakers mitigate these risks through stricter supervisory and macroprudential oversight of firms, strengthened oversight and disclosure for institutional investors, and the implementation of prudent sovereign debt management practices and frameworks for emerging and frontier market economies. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: Financial Soundness Indicators for Financial Sector Stability in Viet Nam Asian Development Bank, 2015-09-01 Financial soundness indicators (FSIs) are methodological tools that help quantify and qualify the soundness and vulnerabilities of financial systems according to five areas of interests: capital adequacy, asset quality, earnings, liquidity, and sensitivity to market risk. With support from the Investment Climate Facilitation Fund under the Regional Cooperation and Integration Financing Facility, this report describes the development of FSIs for Viet Nam and analyzes the stability and soundness of the Vietnamese banking system by using these indicators. The key challenges to comprehensively implementing reforms and convincingly addressing the root causes of the banking sector problems include (i) assessing banks' recapitalization needs, (ii) revising classification criteria to guide resolution options, (iii) recapitalization and restructuring that may include foreign partnerships, (iv) strengthening the Vietnam Asset Management Company, (v) developing additional options to deal with nonperforming loans, (vi) tightening supervision to ensure a sound lending practice, (vii) revamping the architecture and procedures for crisis management, and (viii) strengthening financial safety nets during the reform process. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: Incorporating Macro-Financial Linkages into Forecasts Using Financial Conditions Indices: The Case of France Ms.Piyabha Kongsamut, Mr.Christian Mumssen, Anne-Charlotte Paret, Mr.Thierry Tressel, 2017-12-01 How can information on financial conditions be used to better understand macroeconomic developments and improve macroeconomic projections? We investigate this question for France by constructing country-specific financial conditions indices (FCIs) that are tailored to movements in GDP, investment, private consumption and exports respectively. We rely on a VAR approach to estimate the weights of the financial components of each FCI, including equity market returns (which turn out having a relatively strong weight across all FCIs), private sector risk premiums, long-term interest rates, and banks’ credit standards. We find that the tailored FCIs are useful as leading indicators of GDP, investment, and exports, and as a contemporaneous indicator of private consumption. Credit volumes turn out to be lagging indicators of growth. The indices inform us on macro-financial linkages in France and are used to improve the accuracy of quarterly forecasting models and high-frequency “nowcast” models. We show that FCI-augmented models could have significantly improved forecasts during and after the global financial crisis. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: House Price Synchronicity, Banking Integration, and Global Financial Conditions Adrian Alter, Jane Dokko, MissDulani Seneviratne, 2018-11-28 We examine the relationship between house price synchronicity and global financial conditions across 40 countries and about 70 cities over the past three decades. The role played by cross-border banking flows in residential property markets is examined as well. Looser global financial conditions are associated with greater house price synchronicity, even after controlling for bilateral financial integration. Moreover, we find that synchronicity across major cities may differ from that of their respective countries’, perhaps due to the influence of global investors on local house price dynamics. Policy choices such as macroprudential tools and exchange rate flexibility appear to be relevant for mitigating the sensitivity of domestic housing markets to the rest of the world. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: Advanced Positioning, Flow, and Sentiment Analysis in Commodity Markets Mark J. S. Keenan, 2020-02-18 The definitive book on Positioning Analysis — a powerful and sophisticated framework to help traders, investors and risk managers better understand commodity markets Positioning Analysis is a powerful framework to better understand commodity price dynamics, risk, and sentiment. It indicates what each category of trader is doing—what they are trading, how much they are trading and how they might behave under a variety of different circumstances. It is essential in isolating specific types of flow patterns, defining behavioral responses, measuring shifts in sentiment, and developing tools for better risk management. Advanced Positioning, Flow and Sentiment Analysis in Commodity Markets explains the fundamentals of Positioning Analysis and presents new concepts in Commodity Positioning Analytics. This invaluable guide helps readers recognize how certain types of positioning patterns can be used to develop models, indicators, and analyses that can be used to enhance performance. This updated second edition contains substantial new material, including analytics based on the analysis of flow, the decomposition of trading flows, trading activity in the Chinese commodity markets, and the inclusion of Newsflow into Positioning Analysis. Author: Mark J S Keenan, also covers the structure of positioning data, performance attribution of speculators, sentiment analysis and the identification of price risks and behavioral patterns that can be used to generate trading signals.. This must-have resource: Offers intuitive and accessible guidance to commodity market participants and risk managers at various levels and diverse areas of the market Provides a wide range of analytics that can be used directly or integrated into a variety of different commodity-related trading, investment, and risk management programs Features an online platform comprising a wide range of customizable, regularly-updated analytical tools Contains an abundance of exceptional graphics, charts, and illustrations Includes easy-to-follow instructions for building analytics. Advanced Positioning, Flow and Sentiment Analysis in Commodity Markets: Bridging Fundamental and Technical Analysis, 2nd Edition is an indispensable source of information for all types of commodity traders, investors, and speculators, as well as investors in other asset classes who look to the commodity markets for price information. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: Global Financial Stability Report April 2023 International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department, 2023-04-11 The baseline forecast is for growth to fall from 3.4 percent in 2022 to 2.8 percent in 2023, before settling at 3.0 percent in 2024. Advanced economies are expected to see an especially pronounced growth slowdown, from 2.7 percent in 2022 to 1.3 percent in 2023. In a plausible alternative scenario with further financial sector stress, global growth declines to about 2.5 percent in 2023 with advanced economy growth falling below 1 percent. Global headline inflation in the baseline is set to fall from 8.7 percent in 2022 to 7.0 percent in 2023 on the back of lower commodity prices but underlying (core) inflation is likely to decline more slowly. Inflation’s return to target is unlikely before 2025 in most cases. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: Regional Economic Outlook, Western Hemisphere, October 2024 International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept., 2024-10-25 After successfully weathering a series of shocks, most countries in the region are converging to their (tepid) potential. Growth is expected to moderate in late 2024 and 2025 while inflation is projected to continue easing, although gradually. With output and inflation gaps mostly closed but monetary policy still contractionary and public finances in need of strengthening, a further rebalancing of the policy mix is necessary. Fiscal consolidation should advance without delay to rebuild buffers while protecting priority public investment and social spending. This would support the normalization of monetary policy and strengthen credibility and resilience of policy frameworks. Most central banks are well placed to proceed with monetary easing, striking a balance between fending off the risk of reemerging price pressures and avoiding an undue economic contraction. Medium-term growth is expected to remain close to its low historical average, reflecting long-standing, unresolved challenges—including low investment and productivity growth—and shifting demographics. Worrisomely, the ongoing reform agenda is noticeably thin and could lead to a vicious circle of low growth, social discontent, and populist policies. Avoiding this requires pressing on with reforms. Improving governance—by strengthening the rule of law, enhancing government effectiveness, and tackling crime—is a priority that cuts across all areas of growth. Boosting capital accumulation requires improving the business environment, fostering competition, and increasing international trade. Greater and more effective public investment is also needed. Maintaining a dynamic labor force and increasing productivity requires tackling informality and making formal labor markets more flexible, including to adapt to new technologies. Increasing female labor participation can help boost the labor force and offset demographic shifts. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: Capital Movements and Corporate Dominance in Latin America Noemi Levy-Orlik, Jorge A. Bustamante-Torres, Louis-Philippe Rochon, 2021-06-25 This book addresses the problems of Latin America, through two of the most important features of the post-Bretton Woods economic order, large corporations and weak financial markets. In turn, it shows that their impact on economic growth and development is feeble and short-lived. This resulted in income concentration and an extremely unequal distribution of wealth in the region. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: Thailand International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept, 2018-06-04 This Selected Issues paper examines the impact of key structural fiscal reforms on growth and other macro variables in Thailand. The study simulates the impact of: a public infrastructure push; labor market policies, including an increase in the pensionable age and in provision of childcare services; and a change in the composition of taxes from income taxes to value added tax to shed light on the desired composition of additional taxes to be levied in the longer term. The results indicate that structural reforms enabling higher infrastructure investment, stronger labor participation, and more efficient taxation can raise growth significantly and contribute to addressing domestic and external imbalances. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: Republic of Poland International Monetary Fund. European Dept., 2017-07-17 This 2017 Article IV Consultation highlights that Poland’s near-term growth momentum remains strong, supported by accommodative monetary and fiscal policies and sizeable European Union transfers. The economy is operating above potential, with the unemployment rate at a historical low. Growth is projected to accelerate to 3.6 percent in 2017 and remain strong in 2018. Long-term growth, however, will be more subdued, unless adverse demographics and structural constraints on investment and productivity growth are addressed. Risks to the near-term outlook are broadly balanced. Monetary policy remains accommodative, with policy rate kept at a historically low level since early 2015. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: Regional Economic Outlook: Europe International Monetary Fund. European Dept., 2022-10-13 The war in Ukraine is taking a growing toll on Europe’s economies. The worsening energy crisis has depressed households’ purchasing power and raised firms’ costs, only partly offset by new government support. Central banks in the region and the world are acting more forcefully to bring high and persistent inflation down to targets, and global financial conditions have tightened. European policymakers are facing severe trade-offs and tough policy choices. A tightening macroeconomic policy stance is needed to bring down inflation, while helping vulnerable households and viable firms weather the energy crisis. But policies need to stay nimble and agile and adjust should additional shocks materialize. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: Global Financial Stability Report, April 2019 International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Financial Systems Dept., 2019-04-10 The April 2019 Global Financial Stability Report (GFSR) finds that despite significant variability over the past two quarters, financial conditions remain accommodative. As a result, financial vulnerabilities have continued to build in the sovereign, corporate, and nonbank financial sectors in several systemically important countries, leading to elevated medium-term risks. The report attempts to provide a comprehensive assessment of these vulnerabilities while focusing specifically on corporate sector debt in advanced economies, the sovereign–financial sector nexus in the euro area, China’s financial imbalances, volatile portfolio flows to emerging markets, and downside risks to the housing market. These vulnerabilities require action by policymakers, including through the clear communication of any changes in their monetary policy outlook, the deployment and expansion of macroprudential tools, the stepping up of measures to repair public and private sector balance sheets, and the strengthening of emerging market resilience to foreign portfolio outflows. This GFSR also takes an in depth look at house prices at risk, a measure of downside risks to future house price growth—using theory, insights from past analyses, and new statistical techniques applied to 32 advanced and emerging market economies and major cities. The chapter finds that lower house price momentum, overvaluation, excessive credit growth, and tighter financial conditions predict heightened downside risks to house prices up to three years ahead. The measure of house prices at risk helps forecast downside risks to GDP growth and adds to early-warning models for financial crises. Policymakers can use estimates of house prices at risk to complement other surveillance indicators of housing market vulnerabilities and guide macroprudential policy actions aimed at building buffers and reducing vulnerabilities. Downside risks to house prices could also be relevant for monetary policymakers when forming their views on the downside risks to the economic and inflation outlook. Authorities considering measures to manage capital flows might also find such information useful when a surge in capital inflows increases downside risks to house prices and when other policy options are limited. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: Intelligent Systems and Applications Kohei Arai, 2022-09-01 This book is a remarkable collection of chapters covering a wide domain of topics related to artificial intelligence and its applications to the real world. The conference attracted a total of 494 submissions from many academic pioneering researchers, scientists, industrial engineers, and students from all around the world. These submissions underwent a double-blind peer-reviewed process. Of the total submissions, 176 submissions have been selected to be included in these proceedings. It is difficult to imagine how artificial intelligence has become an inseparable part of our life. From mobile phones, smart watches, washing machines to smart homes, smart cars, and smart industries, artificial intelligence has helped to revolutionize the whole globe. As we witness exponential growth of computational intelligence in several directions and use of intelligent systems in everyday applications, this book is an ideal resource for reporting latest innovations and future of AI. Distinguished researchers have made valuable studies to understand the various bottlenecks existing in different arenas and how they can be overcome with the use of intelligent systems. This book also provides new directions and dimensions of future research work. We hope that readers find the volume interesting and valuable. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: Can You Map Global Financial Stability? Mr.Ken Miyajima, Rebecca McCaughrin, Jaume Puig, Mr.Peter Dattels, 2010-06-01 The Global Financial Stability Map was developed as a tool to interpret the risks and conditions that impact financial stability in a graphical manner. It complements other existing tools for assessing financial stability, and seeks to overcome some of the drawbacks of earlier approaches. This paper provides the motivation for the tool, a detailed discussion of its construction, including the choice of risk factors and conditions, a description of the underlying indicators, and a discussion on how the final assessment is determined. When applied to past events of financial instability, the Global Financial Stability Map performs reasonably well in signaling risks to stability, as well as in characterizing the depth of crisis episodes. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2021, Western Hemisphere: A Long and Winding Road to Recovery INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND., 2021-10-21 An economic recovery is underway in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) but the pandemic still casts shadows on much of the region. The recovery was robust in the first quarter of 2021 but lost momentum in some countries in the second quarter, reflecting the rebound in COVID-19 cases. Real GDP is projected to grow by 6.3 percent in 2021, followed by a more moderate growth of 3 percent in 2022, but would not catch up with pre-pandemic trends in the medium term as persistent weakness in labor markets raises risks of scarring. Broadly favorable external conditions, high commodity prices, and pent-up demand support short-term growth, while monetary and fiscal policy reversals work in the other direction. Risks to the outlook are tilted downward. Main downside risks are the emergence of more transmissible and deadlier COVID-19 variants, tightening of global financial conditions, sovereign debt rollover risks, and social unrest as a year with heavy election schedule looms. Fiscal policy should allocate sufficient resources for health spending, including vaccination, and continue to support households and firms in a more targeted fashion while the pandemic persists, backed by credible assurances of medium-term debt sustainability to maintain access to finance. Monetary policy has started to address inflationary pressures but should continue to support economic activity insofar as the dynamics of inflation expectations permit. If rising inflation threatens to de-anchor inflation expectations, central banks should tighten monetary policy to signal a commitment to inflation targets and avoid persistent increases in inflation. Preemptive and decisive action should be accompanied with clear and transparent communication. Financial policy should shift from blanket support to targeted support of viable firms, to ensure that necessary labor and capital reallocations are not hindered. Supply-side policies should foster inclusive growth, including through progressive and growth-friendly tax reforms and measures to intensify climate change adaptation and mitigation. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: Global Financial Stability Report, April 2020 International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department, 2020-04-14 The April 2020 Global Financial Stability Report (GFSR) assesses the financial stability challenges posed by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. Chapter 1 describes how financial conditions tightened abrubtly with the onset of the pandemic, with risk asset prices dropping sharply as investors rushed to safety and liquidity. It finds that a further tightening of financial conditions may expose vulnerabilities, including among nonbank financial institutions, and that bank resilience may be tested if economic and financial market stresses rise. Vulnerabilities in global risky corporate credit markets, including weakened credit quality of borrowers, looser underwriting standards, liquidity risks at investment funds, and increased interconnectedness, could generate losses at nonbank financial institutions in a severe adverse scenario, as discussed in Chapter 2. The pandemic led to an unprecedented and sharp reversal of portfolio flows, highlighting the challenges of managing flows in emerging and frontier markets. Chapter 3 shows that global financial conditions tend to influence portfolio flows more during surges than in normal times, that stronger domestic fundamentals can help mitigate outflows, and that greater foreign participation in local currency bond markets may increase price volatility where domestic markets lack depth. Beyond the immediate challenges of COVID-19, Chapter 4 explores the profitability pressures that banks are likely to face over the medium term in an environment where low interest rates are expected to persist. Chapter 5 takes a broader perspective on physical risks associated with climate change. It finds that these risks do not appear to be reflected in global equity valuations and that stress testing and better disclosure of exposures to climatic hazards are essential to better assess physical risk. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: Regional Economic Outlook, Western Hemisphere, October 2023 International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept., 2023-10-13 After a stronger-than-expected recovery from the pandemic and continued resilience in early 2023, economic growth in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) is softening as the effect of tighter policies to combat inflation is taking hold and the external environment is weakening. The early and swift monetary tightening across the region since 2021, together with the withdrawal of most of the pandemic fiscal stimulus and the reversal of external price pressures, have helped put headline inflation on a downward trajectory. Core inflation has also started to ease, as price pressures are becoming less generalized, although it remains elevated amid strong labor markets and positive output gaps in some countries. Banking systems have weathered the rise in interest rates well and are generally healthy, though credit to the private sector is decelerating amid tighter supply conditions and weaker demand. |
| bloomberg financial conditions index: Global Financial Stability Report, October 2017 International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Financial Systems Dept., 2017-10-11 The October 2017 Global Financial Stability Report finds that the global financial system continues to strengthen in response to extraordinary policy support, regulatory enhancements, and the cyclical upturn in growth. It also includes a chapter that examines the short- and medium-term implications for economic growth and financial stability of the past decades’ rise in household debt. It documents large differences in household debt-to-GDP ratios across countries but a common increasing trajectory that was moderated but not reversed by the global financial crisis. Another chapter develops a new macroeconomic measure of financial stability by linking financial conditions to the probability distribution of future GDP growth and applies it to a set of 20 major advanced and emerging market economies. The chapter shows that changes in financial conditions shift the whole distribution of future GDP growth. |
Wait... what? Bloomberg banned DuraCoat from NY in 2006.
Apr 18, 2013 · At a press conference (pdf) in June of 2006, Mayor Bloomberg had this to day about Lauer Custom Weaponry and DuraCoat paints: As part of a larger gun control package, …
Bloomberg wants our flintlocks as well. | Georgia Firearm Forums ...
Jul 30, 2009 · Bloomberg wants our flintlocks as well. Jump to Latest 1K views 14 replies 13 participants last post by DecepticonDon Aug 5, 2009
Economy May Not Be Where We Have Been Told
Aug 20, 2024 · THAT'S a pretty big adjustment . . . We won't know who is correct, however, until 2025.
bloomberg on daily show | Georgia Firearm Forums - Georgia …
Aug 27, 2010 · I'm posting from my phone so I can't embed a youtube video but bloomberg was on the daily show talking about the mosque being built and the debate around it. He says he …
Wikileaks and Julian Assange | Page 2 - Georgia Packing
Nov 11, 2010 · Moe's article is also a more in-depth look at the same issue as the Bloomberg article above. If you think there was no violence before guns, remember your size and fighting …
LEOSA and Ga Blue Cards - Georgia Packing
Apr 28, 2014 · Ok, the guys we saw at the Bloomberg rally at the Capitol last year showed up at the NRA convention guarding the MDA protesters. I am now very curious if we figured out if …
Prosecute Straw Purchase? | Georgia Firearm Forums - Georgia …
Jul 16, 2007 · In the News ... Prosecute Straw Purchase?
Read CNN . com? | Georgia Firearm Forums - Georgia Packing
Sep 29, 2024 · They are looking to put up a paywall. Nemo https://archive.is/zXBAf Coming Up Next on CNN: A Paywall CNN will begin experimenting in October with a subscription model, …
Enthusiasm by gun-ban organizations at an all-time low
Nov 8, 2024 · Everything depends on the billionaires bankrolling the organizations. No money, no enthusiasm. Right now, the money isn't returning anything on investment, so they are laying …
Computer Kill Switches | Georgia Firearm Forums - Georgia Packing
May 23, 2024 · Off Topic Lounge ... Computer Kill Switches
Wait... what? Bloomberg banned DuraCoat from NY in 2006.
Apr 18, 2013 · At a press conference (pdf) in June of 2006, Mayor Bloomberg had this to day about Lauer Custom Weaponry and DuraCoat paints: As part of a larger gun control package, …
Bloomberg wants our flintlocks as well. | Georgia Firearm Forums ...
Jul 30, 2009 · Bloomberg wants our flintlocks as well. Jump to Latest 1K views 14 replies 13 participants last post by DecepticonDon Aug 5, 2009
Economy May Not Be Where We Have Been Told
Aug 20, 2024 · THAT'S a pretty big adjustment . . . We won't know who is correct, however, until 2025.
bloomberg on daily show | Georgia Firearm Forums - Georgia …
Aug 27, 2010 · I'm posting from my phone so I can't embed a youtube video but bloomberg was on the daily show talking about the mosque being built and the debate around it. He says he …
Wikileaks and Julian Assange | Page 2 - Georgia Packing
Nov 11, 2010 · Moe's article is also a more in-depth look at the same issue as the Bloomberg article above. If you think there was no violence before guns, remember your size and fighting …
LEOSA and Ga Blue Cards - Georgia Packing
Apr 28, 2014 · Ok, the guys we saw at the Bloomberg rally at the Capitol last year showed up at the NRA convention guarding the MDA protesters. I am now very curious if we figured out if …
Prosecute Straw Purchase? | Georgia Firearm Forums - Georgia …
Jul 16, 2007 · In the News ... Prosecute Straw Purchase?
Read CNN . com? | Georgia Firearm Forums - Georgia Packing
Sep 29, 2024 · They are looking to put up a paywall. Nemo https://archive.is/zXBAf Coming Up Next on CNN: A Paywall CNN will begin experimenting in October with a subscription model, in …
Enthusiasm by gun-ban organizations at an all-time low
Nov 8, 2024 · Everything depends on the billionaires bankrolling the organizations. No money, no enthusiasm. Right now, the money isn't returning anything on investment, so they are laying …
Computer Kill Switches | Georgia Firearm Forums - Georgia Packing
May 23, 2024 · Off Topic Lounge ... Computer Kill Switches
