Blue Chip Economic Indicators

  blue chip economic indicators: Inflation Expectations Peter J. N. Sinclair, 2009-12-16 Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on likely inflation developments. A number of factors have led practitioners and academic observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada, Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been observed in most countries over the past decade or so. These considerations underscore the critical – and largely underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.
  blue chip economic indicators: Leading Economic Indicators Kajal Lahiri, Geoffrey H. Moore, 1991 Developed fifty years ago by the National Bureau of Economic Research, the analytic methods of business cycles and economic indicators enable economists to forecast economic trends by examining the repetitive sequences that occur in business cycles. The methodology has proven to be an inexpensive and useful tool that is now used extensively throughout the world. In recent years, however, significant new developments have emerged in the field of business cycles and economic indicators. This volume contains twenty-two articles by international experts who are working with new and innovative approaches to indicator research. They cover advances in three broad areas of research: the use of new developments in economic theory and time-series analysis to rationalise existing systems of indicators; more appropriate methods to evaluate the forecasting records of leading indicators, particularly of turning point probability; and the development of new indicators.
  blue chip economic indicators: Alternative Economic Indicators C. James Hueng, 2020-09-08 Policymakers and business practitioners are eager to gain access to reliable information on the state of the economy for timely decision making. More so now than ever. Traditional economic indicators have been criticized for delayed reporting, out-of-date methodology, and neglecting some aspects of the economy. Recent advances in economic theory, econometrics, and information technology have fueled research in building broader, more accurate, and higher-frequency economic indicators. This volume contains contributions from a group of prominent economists who address alternative economic indicators, including indicators in the financial market, indicators for business cycles, and indicators of economic uncertainty.
  blue chip economic indicators: 23rd European Symposium on Computer Aided Process Engineering , 2013-06-10 Computer-aided process engineering (CAPE) plays a key design and operations role in the process industries, from the molecular scale through managing complex manufacturing sites. The research interests cover a wide range of interdisciplinary problems related to the current needs of society and industry. ESCAPE 23 brings together researchers and practitioners of computer-aided process engineering interested in modeling, simulation and optimization, synthesis and design, automation and control, and education. The proceedings present and evaluate emerging as well as established research methods and concepts, as well as industrial case studies. - Contributions from the international community using computer-based methods in process engineering - Reviews the latest developments in process systems engineering - Emphasis on industrial and societal challenges
  blue chip economic indicators: Macroeconomic Fluctuations and Policies Edouard Challe, 2023-09-19 The basic tools for analyzing macroeconomic fluctuations and policies, applied to concrete issues and presented within an integrated New Keynesian framework. This textbook presents the basic tools for analyzing macroeconomic fluctuations and policies and applies them to contemporary issues. It employs a unified New Keynesian framework for understanding business cycles, major crises, and macroeconomic policies, introducing students to the approach most often used in academic macroeconomic analysis and by central banks and international institutions. The book addresses such topics as how recessions and crises spread; what instruments central banks and governments have to stimulate activity when private demand is weak; and what “unconventional” macroeconomic policies might work when conventional monetary policy loses its effectiveness (as has happened in many countries in the aftermath of the Great Recession.). The text introduces the foundations of modern business cycle theory through the notions of aggregate demand and aggregate supply, and then applies the theory to the study of regular business-cycle fluctuations in output, inflation, and employment. It considers conventional monetary and fiscal policies aimed at stabilizing the business cycle, and examines unconventional macroeconomic policies, including forward guidance and quantitative easing, in situations of “liquidity trap”—deep crises in which conventional policies are either ineffective or have very different effects than in normal time. This book is the first to use the New Keynesian framework at the advanced undergraduate level, connecting undergraduate learning not only with the more advanced tools taught at the graduate level but also with the large body of policy-oriented research in academic journals. End-of-chapter problems help students master the materials presented.
  blue chip economic indicators: Innocent Bystanders? Monetary Policy and Inequality in the U.S. Mr.Olivier Coibion, Mr.Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Mr.Lorenz Kueng, Mr.John Silvia, 2012-08-01 We study the effects and historical contribution of monetary policy shocks to consumption and income inequality in the United States since 1980. Contractionary monetary policy actions systematically increase inequality in labor earnings, total income, consumption and total expenditures. Furthermore, monetary shocks can account for a significant component of the historical cyclical variation in income and consumption inequality. Using detailed micro-level data on income and consumption, we document the different channels via which monetary policy shocks affect inequality, as well as how these channels depend on the nature of the change in monetary policy.
  blue chip economic indicators: Handbook of Economic Expectations Ruediger Bachmann, Giorgio Topa, Wilbert van der Klaauw, 2022-11-04 Handbook of Economic Expectations discusses the state-of-the-art in the collection, study and use of expectations data in economics, including the modelling of expectations formation and updating, as well as open questions and directions for future research. The book spans a broad range of fields, approaches and applications using data on subjective expectations that allows us to make progress on fundamental questions around the formation and updating of expectations by economic agents and their information sets. The information included will help us study heterogeneity and potential biases in expectations and analyze impacts on behavior and decision-making under uncertainty. - Combines information about the creation of economic expectations and their theories, applications and likely futures - Provides a comprehensive summary of economics expectations literature - Explores empirical and theoretical dimensions of expectations and their relevance to a wide array of subfields in economics
  blue chip economic indicators: Economic Report of the President Together with the Annual Report of the Council of Economic Advisers Barack Obama, 2010-11 Contents: Economic Report of the Pres.; Annual Report of the Council of Economic Advisers: (1) To Rescue, Rebalance, and Rebuild; (2) Rescuing the Economy from the Great Recession; (3) Crisis and Recovery in the World Economy; (4) Saving and Investment; (5) Addressing the Long-Run Fiscal Challenge; (6) Building a Safer Financial System; (7) Reforming Health Care: (8) Strengthening the Amer. Labor Force; (9) Transforming the Energy Sector and Addressing Climate Change; (10) Fostering Productivity Growth through Innovation and Trade. Appendix: Statistical Tables Relating to Income, Employment, and Production. Charts and tables.
  blue chip economic indicators: Budget and Economic Outlook: an Update , 2010 Update of one of a series of reports on the state of the budget and the economy that is issued each year; the report makes no recommendations. Contents: (1) The Budget Outlook; (2) The Economic Outlook; (3) Changes in Baseline Since March 2009; (4) The Government¿s Actions in Support of the Housing and Financial Markets. Tables and graphs.
  blue chip economic indicators: CBO Economic Forecast and Budget Projections United States. Congress. House. Committee on the Budget, 1989
  blue chip economic indicators: The Economic and Budget Outlook United States. Congress. House. Committee on the Budget, 1997
  blue chip economic indicators: 22nd European Symposium on Computer Aided Process Engineering David Bogle, 2012-08-03 Computer aided process engineering (CAPE) plays a key design and operations role in the process industries. This conference features presentations by CAPE specialists and addresses strategic planning, supply chain issues and the increasingly important area of sustainability audits. Experts collectively highlight the need for CAPE practitioners to embrace the three components of sustainable development: environmental, social and economic progress and the role of systematic and sophisticated CAPE tools in delivering these goals. Contributions from the international community of researchers and engineers using computing-based methods in process engineering Review of the latest developments in process systems engineering Emphasis on a systems approach in tackling industrial and societal grand challenges
  blue chip economic indicators: The Budget and Economic Outlook, an Update , 2009
  blue chip economic indicators: The Budget and Economic Outlook , 2012
  blue chip economic indicators: The Economic and Budget Outlook , 1997
  blue chip economic indicators: Measuring Economic Performance Kenneth M. Brown, 1986
  blue chip economic indicators: Background Material and Data on Programs Within the Jurisdiction of the Committee on Ways and Means United States. Congress. House. Committee on Ways and Means, 1989
  blue chip economic indicators: A Preliminary Analysis of the President's Budget and an Update of CBO's Budget and Economic Outlook United States. Congressional Budget Office, 2009 CBO's baseline and estimate of the President's budget -- The economic outlook -- CBO's economic projections for 2009 to 2019 -- Contributors to the revenue and spending projections -- Tables -- Figures.
  blue chip economic indicators: Brookings Papers on Economic Activity: Fall 2010 David H. Romer, Justin Wolfers, 2011-05-01 Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (BPEA) provides academic and business economists, government officials, and members of the financial and business communities with timely research on current economic issues. Contents: • Editors' Summary • The Increase in Income Cyclicality of High-Income Households and Its Relation to the Rise in Top Income Shares By Jonathan A. Parker and Annette Vissing-Jorgensen (Northwestern University) • The State of the Social Safety Net in the Post-Welfare Reform Era By Marianne P. Bitler (University of California, Irvine) and Hilary W. Hoynes (University of California, Davis) • The Impact of No Child Left Behind on Students, Teacheres, and Schools By Thomas S. Dee (University of Virginia) and Brian A. Jacob (University of Michigan) • How Useful Are Estimated DSGE Model Forecasts for Central Bankers? By Rochelle M. Edge (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System) and Refet S. Gürkaynak (Bilkent University) • Regulating the Shadow Banking System By Gary Gorton and Andrew Metrick (Yale University) • State Fiscal Policies and Transitory Income Fluctuations By James R. Hines, Jr. (University of Michigan)
  blue chip economic indicators: The Economy and the President's Budget for Fiscal Year 1989 United States. Congress. House. Committee on Ways and Means, 1989
  blue chip economic indicators: A Report to the Senate and House Committees on the Budget United States. Congressional Budget Office, 1990
  blue chip economic indicators: Background Data and Readings on the Budget Deficit, the Status of the U.S. Economy, and Federal Budget Policy for Fiscal Year 1990 and Beyond (for Hearings to be Held on February 7, 8, and 9, 1989) United States. Congress. House. Committee on Ways and Means, 1989
  blue chip economic indicators: The Budget and the Economy United States. Congress. House. Committee on the Budget, 1990
  blue chip economic indicators: The Economic and Budget Outlook, an Update , 1994
  blue chip economic indicators: Concurrent Resolution on the Budget for Fiscal Year 1991: Economics, January 24, 1990; views of the Congressional Budget Office United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on the Budget, 1990
  blue chip economic indicators: Background Material and Data on Major Programs Within the Jurisdiction of the Committee on Ways and Means United States. Congress. House. Committee on Ways and Means, 1994
  blue chip economic indicators: Exploring Research Frontiers in Contemporary Statistics and Econometrics Ingrid Van Keilegom, Paul W. Wilson, 2011-09-15 This book collects contributions written by well-known statisticians and econometricians to acknowledge Léopold Simar’s far-reaching scientific impact on Statistics and Econometrics throughout his career. The papers contained herein were presented at a conference in Louvain-la-Neuve in May 2009 in honor of his retirement. The contributions cover a broad variety of issues surrounding frontier estimation, which Léopold Simar has contributed much to over the past two decades, as well as related issues such as semiparametric regression and models for censored data. This book collects contributions written by well-known statisticians and econometricians to acknowledge Léopold Simar’s far-reaching scientific impact on Statistics and Econometrics throughout his career. The papers contained herein were presented at a conference in Louvain-la-Neuve in May 2009 in honor of his retirement. The contributions cover a broad variety of issues surrounding frontier estimation, which Léopold Simar has contributed much to over the past two decades, as well as related issues such as semiparametric regression and models for censored data.
  blue chip economic indicators: Public Budgeting Systems Robert D. Lee Jr., Ronald W. Johnson, Philip G. Joyce, 2020-10-12 Public Budgeting Systems, Tenth Edition is the most comprehensive and balanced treatment of the current state of budgeting throughout all levels of the United States government. Current and prospective public managers, accordingly, often succeed or fail in their careers based in large part on whether they are intelligent consumers of financial data and have an adequate understanding of the budget process. By providing a detailed overview of all budgeting and financial management, the book enables students to gain an appropriate understanding of a complex topic.
  blue chip economic indicators: Neutralizing the Nuclear and Radiological Threat United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs. Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations, 2006
  blue chip economic indicators: An Analysis of the President's Budgetary Proposals for Fiscal Year ... United States. Congressional Budget Office, 1993
  blue chip economic indicators: A Report to the Senate and House Committees on the Budget , 2005
  blue chip economic indicators: The Economic Impact of Federal Deficits, 1984-1989 United States. Congress. Joint Economic Committee. Subcommittee on Economic Goals and Intergovernmental Policy, 1984
  blue chip economic indicators: An Analysis of the President's Budgetary Proposals for Fiscal Year 1992 United States. Congressional Budget Office, 1991
  blue chip economic indicators: An Analysis of the President's February Budgetary Proposals United States. Congressional Budget Office, 1993
  blue chip economic indicators: Concurrent Resolution on the Budget Fiscal Year 2010 United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on the Budget, 2010
  blue chip economic indicators: Economic Models of Climate Change S. DeCanio, 2003-08-19 The climate policy debate has been dominated by economic estimates of the costs of policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Yet the models used to derive those estimates are based on assumptions that have largely gone untested. The conventional approach embodies structural features that rule out alternative market outcomes. In addition, the distribution of 'climate rights' is crucial to determining the economic affects of various policies. Bringing these considerations to the forefront shows how domestic and international policy solutions might be found.
  blue chip economic indicators: Economic Indicators , 1996
  blue chip economic indicators: NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 2022 Martin Eichenbaum, Erik Hurst, Valerie Ramey, 2023-05-15 Authoritative takes on the most current and pressing issues in macroeconomics today. The NBER Macroeconomics Annual provides a forum for leading economists to participate in important debates in macroeconomics and to report on major developments in macroeconomic analysis and policy. The NBER Macroeconomics Annual brings together leading scholars to discuss five research papers on central issues in contemporary macroeconomics. First, Andrea Eisfeldt, Antonio Falato, and Mindy Xiaolan document the rise of a new class of worker that receives part of its labor income as equity-based compensation, its role in the recent decline in the labor share of income, and implications for the returns to skilled labor and the implied capital-skill complementarity. Next, Michael Bauer and Eric Swanson focus on monetary policy shocks and argue the correlation between estimated monetary surprises and previously available information can be explained by uncertainty about the parameters of the monetary policy rule. Using new data and methods they find effects of monetary policy on macroeconomic variables that are much larger than previously estimated. Job Boerma and Loukas Karabarbounis provide a framework for quantitatively exploring the gap in wealth between White and Black Americans over the past 150 years and examine the effectiveness of reparations as a tool for closing this gap. Guido Menzio considers workers who do not have rational expectations, and whose “stubborn” beliefs change the response of wages to technology shocks, resulting in sticky wages. He finds that the larger the fraction of workers with stubborn beliefs, the more volatile unemployment is. Finally, Rishabh Aggarwal, Adrien Auclert, Matthew Rognlie, and Ludwig Straub investigate the growth—particularly in the United States—of private savings, current account deficits, and fiscal deficits after 2020. They argue that fiscal deficits lead to large and persistent increases in private savings and current account deficits.
  blue chip economic indicators: 2017 Valuation Handbook - U.S. Guide to Cost of Capital Roger J. Grabowski, Carla Nunes, James P. Harrington, Duff & Phelps, 2017-04-10 Ensure that you're using the most up-to-date data available: Buy the 2017 Valuation Handbook – U.S. Guide to Cost of Capital + Quarterly PDF Updates together! The New Industry Standard in Business Valuation Reference Materials 2017 Valuation Handbook – U.S. Guide to Cost of Capital provides the key annual valuation data previously published in (i) the now discontinued Morningstar/Ibbotson SBBI Valuation Yearbook (discontinued in 2013), and (ii) the Duff & Phelps Risk Premium Report Study (no longer published as a stand-alone publication). The size premia data previously published in the SBBI Valuation Yearbook is referred to as the CRSP Deciles Size Premia exhibits in the new 2017 Valuation Handbook – U.S. Guide to Cost of Capital, while the size and risk premia data published in the Duff & Phelps Risk Premium Report Study has been published annually since 1996 and, like the former SBBI Valuation Yearbook, provides data and methodology that can be used to develop cost of equity capital estimates using (i) the build-up method and (ii) the capital asset pricing model (CAPM). The 2017 Valuation Handbook – U.S. Guide to Cost of Capital includes data through December 31, 2016, and is intended to be used for 2017 valuation dates. For more information about Duff & Phelps valuation data resources published by Wiley, please visit www.wiley.com/go/valuationhandbooks. Also Available 2017 Valuation Handbook – U.S. Industry Cost of Capital 2017 Valuation Handbook – International Guide to Cost of Capital 2017 Valuation Handbook – International Industry Cost of Capital Key Features Key cost of capital inputs: The 2017 Valuation Handbook – U.S. Guide to Cost of Capital provides the key inputs needed for developing the cost of equity capital (i.e., discount rate) for use in estimating the value of a subject business, business ownership interest, security, or intangible asset. Inputs provided include: equity risk premia, size premia, risk premia over the risk free rate, full-information industry betas, industry risk premia, and the risk-free rate. Discussion of topics that come up most when performing valuation analysis: The 2017 Valuation Handbook – U.S. Guide to Cost of Capital includes straightforward discussions about: (i) valuation theory, (ii) the differences between the various cost of capital estimation models (build-up, CAPM, Fama-French), (iii) understanding the basic building blocks of cost of equity capital (the risk-free rate, the equity risk premium, the size premium, beta, the industry risk premium, the company-specific risk premium), (iv) whether to normalize risk-free rates or not, (v) a detailed comparison of the CRSP Deciles Size Premia Study (the former SBBI Valuation Yearbook data) and the Risk Premium Report Study, and more. Easy-to-follow examples: The 2017 Valuation Handbook – U.S. Guide to Cost of Capital is packed with easy-to-understand examples for properly using the data to develop levered, unlevered, and even high-financial-risk cost of equity capital estimates using various build-up methods and CAPM.
  blue chip economic indicators: Budget of the United States Government United States. Office of Management and Budget, 2003
Blue Chip Economic and Financial Indicators | Wolters Kluwer
Blue Chip Economic Indicators Containing forecasts from 50-plus economists employed by some of America's largest and most respected manufacturers, banks, insurance companies, and …

Blue Chip Economic Indicators - Wikipedia
Blue Chip Economic Indicators is a monthly survey and associated publication by Wolters Kluwer collecting macroeconomic forecasts related to the economy of the United States. [1]

Blue Chip Economic Indicators (PDF) on VitalLaw | Wolters Kluwer
Each month since 1976, Blue Chip Economic Indicators has polled America's top business economists, collecting their forecasts of U.S. economic growth, inflation, interest rates, and a …

Economic Optimism Meets Uncertainty: Blue Chip Indicators …
Nov 28, 2024 · Each month, the Blue Chip Economic Indicators provides both individual and consensus forecasts for key economic variables such as real GDP, inflation, and …

Economic Forecasts in Flux: Blue Chip Indicators Highlight Post ...
The November 2024 edition of Wolters Kluwer’s Blue Chip Economic Indicators provides an intriguing snapshot of economic sentiment among top economists in light of shifting political …

Blue Chip Economic Indicators - Wolters Kluwer
Blue Chip International Forecasts – 2023 and 2024 consensus forecasts of economic growth, inflation, current account, exchange rates and short-term interest rates for 15 of America’s …

Blue Chip Economic Indicators
financial markets, Blue Chip Economic Indicators (BCEI) forecasters and the Federal Reserve with its resilience. The BCEI consensus has raised its outlook for 2023 GDP growth in almost …

Economic Indicators: Blue Chips as Barometers of Market Trends
Jun 27, 2024 · When it comes to analyzing the stock market, there are a wide variety of economic indicators that investors use to determine the overall strength and health of the market. One …

Blue Chip Economic Indicators, Blue Chip Financial Forecasts
Blue Chip Economic Indicators. Containing forecasts from 50-plus economists employed by some of America's largest and most respected manufacturers, banks, insurance companies, and …

U.S. Economy Forecast: Blue Chip Economic Indicators outlook …
Dec 5, 2023 · Every month, Wolters Kluwer provides corporate and government decision-makers with an outlook on the performance of the U.S. economy for the year ahead. Blue Chip …

A Presentation on the Budgetary Implications of Economic
Jan 1, 2022 · Forecasts in the Blue Chip Economic Indicators. 10 CBO constructed the high-sixth and low-sixth scenarios based on the average values of projections from the six Blue Chip …

Economic Advisor Council Quarterly Report – Q1 2024
Ohio's economic landscape is marked by a significant momentum, a testament to the state's strategic management during the COVID-19 pandemic. This has enabled us to navigate …

A Real-Time Assessment of Inflation Nowcasting at the …
surveys of professional forecasters, in particular, the Blue Chip Economic Indicators Survey and the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia’s Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF). We …

Rational Bias in Macroeconomic Forecasts - scispace.com
with a separate article. The publisher of Blue Chip Economic Indicators, a monthly newsletter compiling dozens of professional economic forecasts, holds an annual dinner at which the …

STATE OF NEW YORK PUBLIC SERVICE COMMISSION In …
Note: (1) Forecasts for GDP Price Indices for 2025-2026 are from the May 2025 Blue Chip Economics Indicators. (2)Forecasts for GDP Price Indices for 2027-2036 are based on the …

Rational Bias in Macroeconomic Forecasts - Federal …
with a separate article. The publisher of Blue Chip Economic Indicators, a monthly newsletter compiling dozens of professional economic forecasts, holds an annual dinner at which the …

Machine Learning Approaches to Macroeconomic …
Blue Chip Economic Indicators and the Survey of Professional Fore-casters (SPF). By drawing from a variety of techniques and methods, these consensus forecasts can be more accurate …

BEFORE THE STATE OF NEW YORK PUBLIC SERVICE …
23 Blue Chip Economic Indicators. With this 24 . update, the Company indicates that the general . Cases 25-E-0072 and 25-G-0073 GADOMSKI . 5 . 1 escalation rate from the historic test year …

BEFORE THE STATE OF NEW YORK PUBLIC SERVICE …
Apr 1, 2025 · Note: (1) Forecasts for GDP Price Indices for 2025-2026 are from the March 2025 Blue Chip Economics Indicators. (2)Forecasts for GDP Price Indices for 2027-2036 are based …

CBO s Economic Forecasting Record: 2017 Update
documents, and the Blue Chip consensus—an average of about 50 private-sector forecasts published in Blue Chip Economic Indicators. Such comparisons can indicate the extent to …

Central bank information and private‐sector expectations
Novell, 2003), Blue Chip Economic Indicators are considered \representative of the best private sector forecasts" (Gavin and Mandal, 2003, p. 657). 1While Nakamura and Steinsson (2018) …

How Professional Forecasters View Shocks to GDP;
GDP perceived by the panel of forecasters comprising the Blue Chip Economic Indicators Consensus Outlook. I do so using a statistical model of the revisions to the short-, medium-, …

Cost of Capital in the Current Environment - January 2024 …
Sources of underlying U.S. data: 1) Real GDP growth data was sourced from Blue Chip Economic Indicators, Blue Chip Financial Forecasts, Consensus Economics, IHS Markit (S&P Global …

Return to Kroll: Cost of Capital in the Current Environment
Oct 17, 2024 · Sources of underlying U.S. data: 1) Real GDP growth data was sourced from Blue Chip Economic Indicators, Blue Chip Financial Forecasts, Consensus Economics, S&P Global …

Washington, DC 20515
For inflation and interest rates on Treasury bills and notes, CBO used actual data for 2021. For the high-rate Blue Chip scenario, CBO used the average of the 10 highest forecasts of about 45 …

Consumer Price Index
5 days ago · Blue Chip Economic Indicators, published by Aspen Publishers, Inc. This forecast uses the projections from approximately 50 different organizations and the consensus of these …

Machine Learning Approaches to Macroeconomic …
ECONOMIC REVIEW • FOURTH QUARTER 2018 65 different kinds of models as there are forecasters. These models range from sophisticated empirical systems of equations to simple …

NEW YORK STATE ECONOMIC AND REVENUE REPORT
Feb 26, 2025 · Blue Chip Consensus 2.9 2.8 2.2 2.0 Moody's Analytics 2.9 2.8 2.3 1.6 S&P Global 2.9 2.8 2.3 2.0 Sources:NYS Assembly Ways and Means Committee; NYS Division of the …

MAY 2025 NIKKI JOHNSON, WATCHING FOR SIGNS OF …
The April 2025 Blue Chip Economic Indicators median forecast reflects some of these concerns. Inflation, mea-sured by the Consumer Price Index, is expected to rise to 3.3 percent, up from …

2022 Lawrence R. Klein PROGRAM Hosts Award for Blue …
Award for Blue Chip Forecast Accuracy is presented by the W. P. Carey School of Business for consistency and accuracy in economic forecasting. Those eligible for the award are analysts …

week’s Empire State Manufacturing Survey showing a …
Apr 17, 2025 · The Blue Chip Growth consensus Our first chart this week highlights the widespread downward revisions GDP growth forecasts for 2025 across major economies seen …

2024 Hampton Roads Economic Outlook
Jan 18, 2024 · Source: *Blue Chip Economic Indicators, HRPDC. HRPDC Economic Forecast 2024. 2022 Actual. 2023 Year To Date 2024 Forecast United States* Real GDP: 1.9%; 2.4% …

>]hn`^0`>Il G`^`]SG%on[``Z - hrpdcva.gov
Jan 16, 2025 · Source: *Blue Chip Economic Indicators, HRPDC 0- G`^`]SG `kKG>ln ... Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis and HRPDC : U.S. Monthly Inflation Jan 2014 - Dec 2024 8 10% …

This week, we continue to monitor developments stemming …
May 19, 2025 · Haver Analytics | Economic Letter from Asia | 19th May 2025 Chart 3: Blue Chip Economic Indicators consensus growth forecast Another potential flashpoint in US-India trade …

Consumer Price Index
Mar 12, 2025 · Blue Chip Economic Indicators, published by Aspen Publishers, Inc. This forecast uses the projections from approximately 50 different organizations and the consensus of these …

Predicting Analysts S&P 500 Earnings Forecast Errors and …
macroeconomic forecasts from the Blue Chip survey and other incoming data observed midway through the first quarter of 1999 to produce a forecast for S&P 500 earnings growth over the …

ECONOMIC ANALYSES - GovInfo
the Blue Chip Economic Indicators panel of professional forecasters. The sixth section uses information on past ac - curacy of Administration forecasts to provide context for the …

Semiannual Risk Perspective Fall 2023 - Office of the …
Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Blue Chip Economic Indicators (October 2023) According to the latest monthly data released from the U.S. Department of Commerce, real consumer . …

Blue Chip Financial Forecasts - apiproxy.utc.wa.gov
BLUE CHIP FINANCIAL FORECASTS® Executive Editor: Domestic CommentaryJoseph Aguinaldo Assistant Editor: Jules Valencia Haver Analytics 60 East 42nd Street New York, NY …

Semiannual Risk Perspective Spring 2021 - Office of the …
The Blue-Chip Consensus (consensus) forecast is for strong annual growth of 6.3 percent in 2021 (see figure 1). ... (historical data through 1Q:2021); Blue Chip Economic Indicators (April 2021) …

FRBNY & Blue Chip Forecasts - Federal Reserve Bank of …
Source: FRBNY Staff and Blue Chip Economic Indicators Staff GDP Forecast Summary • Moderate real GDP growth through 2013 • somewhat above Blue Chip consensus • Near-term …

The Macroeconomic Effects of the Federal ... - Federal …
We use survey data from the Blue Chip Economic Indicators to infer changes in private‐sector perceptions of the implicit interest rate rule that the Federal Reserve would use following ...

US economic monitor Broad leading indicators
Conference Board coincident and leading econ. indicators Percent, y/y Percent, y/y Coincident indicators Leading indicators-4-2 0 2 4 6 8 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 …

2024 Risk Review - FDIC
spending and economic conditions overall. Monthly CHART 1 The Economy Continued to Grow Throughout 2023 Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis and February Blue Chip Indicators …

Soft landings on a bumpy runway - Federal Reserve Bank of …
Federal Reserve Board of Governors; and Blue Chip Economic Indicators. changed which is unrelated to monetary policy. For example, an adverse supply shock or mon-ey demand shock …

Consumer PriceIndex
Feb 12, 2025 · Blue Chip Economic Indicators. This monthly publication presents 2025 and 2026 economic projections from approximately 50 sources. Projected Increases in the Consumer …

The Virginia Tech USDA Forest Service Housing …
Sources: Blue Chip Economic Forecasts and Blue Chip Financial Forecasts Note: The top (bottom) 10 average forecast is an average of the highest (lowest) 10 forecasts in ... indicators …

A Presentation on the Budgetary Implications of Economic …
Forecasts in the Blue Chip Economic Indicators. 10 CBO constructed the high-sixth and low-sixth scenarios based on the average values of projections from the six Blue Chip forecasters …

Cost of Capital in the Current Environment - January 2024 …
Sources of underlying U.S. data: 1) Real GDP growth data was sourced from Blue Chip Economic Indicators, Blue Chip Financial Forecasts, Consensus Economics, IHS Markit (S&P Global …

Cost of Capital in the Current Environment - Kroll Inc.
Sources: OECD, International Monetary Fund, World Bank, Blue Chip Economic Indicators, Consensus Economics, Economist Intelligence Unit, Fitch Ratings, IHS Markit, Moody's …

Why Do Macroeconomic Forecasters Forecast Inaccurately?
2.1 Blue Chip Data Since 1976, monthly forecasts made by a set of professional forecasters have been collected and reported in the Blue Chip Economic Indicators newsletter. Forecasts for …

Blue Chip Financial Forecasts
BLUE CHIP FINANCIAL FORECASTS® Executive Editor: Domestic CommentaryJoseph Aguinaldo Assistant Editor: Jules Valencia Haver Analytics 60 East 42nd Street New York, NY …

Ronald Reagan and the Rise of Large Deficits - independent.org
2. I follow the normal budgeting convention and present economic forecasts in calendar years and deficit forecasts in fiscal years. Blue Chip reflects a consensus of leading private forecasts …

Decomposing the Declining Volatility of Long-Term Inflation …
the sample we splice it to a conceptually similar series we construct from the Blue Chip Economic Indicators. Starting in 1979, Blue Chip surveys in the spring and fall of each year (March and …

HOW RECESSION PROOF ARE COMMERCIAL …
4 Exhibit 4: Top 50 US metros – change in vacancy rates and NOI during 2001 and 2008 recessions Economic forecasters surveyed for the February 2023 Blue Chip Economic …

Future Shock: What’s Ahead for the US Economy and the …
Sources: US Bureau of Labor Statistics; Blue Chip Economic Indicators (10/17 edition); Insurance Information Institute. 2007:Q1 to 2018:Q4F* Unemployment forecasts have been revised …

US CRE MARKET INSIGHTS - aegonam.com
recession. As a result, 61% of Blue Chip Economic Indicators forecasters and Aegon AM expect a recession, although we, and most forecasters, expect it will be mild.1 Source: Real Capital …

Consumer Price Index - NYSUT
Mar 12, 2024 · Blue Chip Economic Indicators. This monthly publication presents 2024 and 2025 economic projections from approximately 50 sources. Projected Increases in the Consumer …

US CRE Market Insights - aegonam.com
surveyed by the Blue Chip Economic Indicators believe the fed-funds rate has peaked and the first rate cut to occur in the second half of 2024.2 Core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) …