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| calculated risk bad at math: Calculated Risks Gerd Gigerenzer, 2015-11-10 At the beginning of the twentieth century, H. G. Wells predicted that statistical thinking would be as necessary for citizenship in a technological world as the ability to read and write. But in the twenty-first century, we are often overwhelmed by a baffling array of percentages and probabilities as we try to navigate in a world dominated by statistics. Cognitive scientist Gerd Gigerenzer says that because we haven't learned statistical thinking, we don't understand risk and uncertainty. In order to assess risk -- everything from the risk of an automobile accident to the certainty or uncertainty of some common medical screening tests -- we need a basic understanding of statistics. Astonishingly, doctors and lawyers don't understand risk any better than anyone else. Gigerenzer reports a study in which doctors were told the results of breast cancer screenings and then were asked to explain the risks of contracting breast cancer to a woman who received a positive result from a screening. The actual risk was small because the test gives many false positives. But nearly every physician in the study overstated the risk. Yet many people will have to make important health decisions based on such information and the interpretation of that information by their doctors. Gigerenzer explains that a major obstacle to our understanding of numbers is that we live with an illusion of certainty. Many of us believe that HIV tests, DNA fingerprinting, and the growing number of genetic tests are absolutely certain. But even DNA evidence can produce spurious matches. We cling to our illusion of certainty because the medical industry, insurance companies, investment advisers, and election campaigns have become purveyors of certainty, marketing it like a commodity. To avoid confusion, says Gigerenzer, we should rely on more understandable representations of risk, such as absolute risks. For example, it is said that a mammography screening reduces the risk of breast cancer by 25 percent. But in absolute risks, that means that out of every 1,000 women who do not participate in screening, 4 will die; while out of 1,000 women who do, 3 will die. A 25 percent risk reduction sounds much more significant than a benefit that 1 out of 1,000 women will reap. This eye-opening book explains how we can overcome our ignorance of numbers and better understand the risks we may be taking with our money, our health, and our lives. |
| calculated risk bad at math: Calculated Risk Jonna Doolittle Hoppes, 2005-03-01 Famous for leading the Tokyo Raid, America's first strike against Japan in World War II, Jimmy Doolittle led a remarkable life as an American pilot. This firsthand account by his granddaughter reveals an extraordinary individual—a scientist with a doctorate in aeronautical engineering from MIT, an aviation pioneer who was the first to fly across the United States in less than 24 hours and the first to fly “blind” (using only his plane’s instruments), a barnstormer well known for aerobatics, a popular racing pilot who won every major air race at least once, recipient of both the Congressional Medal of Honor and Presidential Medal of Freedom, a four-star general, and commander of both the 8th, 12th and 15th Air Forces. This memoir provides insights into the public and private world of Jimmy Doolittle and his family and sheds light on the drives and motivation of one of America's most influential and ambitious aviators. |
| calculated risk bad at math: Calculated Risks Seanan McGuire, 2021-02-23 The tenth book in the fast-paced InCryptid urban fantasy series returns to the mishaps of the Price family, eccentric cryptozoologists who safeguard the world of magical creatures living in secret among humans. Just when Sarah Zellaby, adopted Price cousin and telepathic ambush predator, thought that things couldn't get worse, she's had to go and prove herself wrong. After being kidnapped and manipulated by her birth family, she has undergone a transformation called an instar, reaching back to her Apocritic origins to metamorphize. While externally the same, she is internally much more powerful, and much more difficult to control. Even by herself. After years of denial, the fact that she will always be a cuckoo has become impossible to deny. Now stranded in another dimension with a handful of allies who seem to have no idea who she is--including her cousin Annie and her maybe-boyfriend Artie, both of whom have forgotten their relationship--and a bunch of cuckoos with good reason to want her dead, Sarah must figure out not only how to contend with her situation, but with the new realities of her future. What is she now? Who is she now? Is that person someone she can live with? And when all is said and done, will she be able to get the people she loves, whether or not they've forgotten her, safely home? |
| calculated risk bad at math: Reckoning with Risk Gerd Gigerenzer, 2003-04-24 Are ordinary people able to reason with risk? Detailing case histories and examples, this text presents readers with tools for understanding statistics. In so doing, it encourages us to overcome our innumeracy and empowers us to take responsibility for our own choices. |
| calculated risk bad at math: Wealth On Any Income Rennie Gabriel, 2004 |
| calculated risk bad at math: Dosage Calculations Made Incredibly Easy! Springhouse, 2002 This entertaining guide is now more fun, more up-to-date, and even easier to use -- an indispensable resource for nurses who want to take the stress out of dosage calculations. New to this edition are a chapter on dimensional analysis; numerous lighthearted learning aids called Cheat Sheets; and Practice Makes Perfect -- case study questions and answers that let nurses assess their progress. Contents include math basics; measurement systems; drug orders and administration records; calculating oral, topical, and rectal drug dosages; calculating parenteral injections and I.V. infusions; and calculating pediatric, obstetric, and critical care dosages. |
| calculated risk bad at math: The Risk-Wise Investor Michael T. Carpenter, 2009-08-13 User-friendly risk management tools, tips, and techniques for a less certain world Though a very high level of investor uncertainty, anxiety, and concern about risk now exists, the vast majority of investors do not genuinely understand investment risk-let alone how to effectively manage it. The Risk-Wise Investor offers a totally new, user-friendly, non-technical way to help you better understand and manage uncertainty and risk. This practical guide will help investors avoid many common pitfalls and make well informed, knowledge-based decisions when facing uncertainty and risk. It also shows how to implement a personalized, systematic risk management planning process that will allow you to manage the risks you face more effectively and improve the likelihood of achieving specific investment goals. Though traditional investment advice is based on taking the long view and diversifying portfolios, the information here shows how to incorporate additional risk management considerations into your plans. The Risk-Wise Investor also provides innovative insights that will help investors and their advisors better understand how to: Gain a practical, user-friendly, knowledge based understanding of risk and risk management Better understand and manage financial uncertainty and rapid change Release life-risk management skills in the world of investments Become less anxious, more knowledgeable, realistic, and potentially more successful investors Learn a new empowering definition of risk to more effectively address risk and uncertainty Help reduce the likelihood and potential impact of negative surprises |
| calculated risk bad at math: AARP Face Your Fears David F. Tolin, 2012-05-22 AARP Digital Editions offer you practical tips, proven solutions, and expert guidance. AARP Face Your Fears shows you how to reclaim your life from crippling anxiety with a revolutionary step-by-step approach. Nearly a third of all people will suffer from severe or debilitating fears—phobias, panic attacks, obsessions, worries, and more—over the course of a lifetime. Now Dr. David Tolin—a renowned psychologist and scientist at the Institute of Living and Yale featured on such programs as The OCD Project, Hoarders, The Dr. Oz Show, and Oprah—offers help for nearly every type of anxiety disorder. Dr. Tolin explains what fear really is, why you should face—not avoid—your fear, and how to beat your fear using gradual exposure techniques. Practical action steps and exercises help you learn this unique approach to facing fear without crutches or other unhelpful things found in many other programs in order to achieve a life that is free of debilitating anxieties. Self-help guide that gives you the tools to take charge and overcome your fears Written by a leading authority on anxiety and based on the latest research Provides a practical, step-by-step plan for beating many different kinds of fears—including social anxiety, posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD), obsessive-compulsive disorder, panic disorder, and phobias AARP Face Your Fears will change the way you think about fear and what to do about it. This up-to-date, evidence-based, and user-friendly self-help guide to beating phobias and overcoming anxieties walks you step by step through the process of choosing courage and freedom over fear. |
| calculated risk bad at math: The Couple's Guide to Love and Money Jonathan Rich, 2003-02-09 We all have expectations about how to spend money, where it should come from, how much is needed for financial security, how important it is, and whether or not we can trust other people to be responsible about money. When these expectations come up against a partner's competing ideas, serious trouble can result. Money conflict is, after all, the most common factor cited as grounds for divorce. This practical and insightful guide helps you and your partner understand your individual money personalities. Its techniques will teach you to successfully negotiate and communicate about money, merge your money management styles, and implement the right money management techniques to achieve financial freedom together. |
| calculated risk bad at math: My word! Thérèse Hulme, 2022-11-01 My Word! tells the stories of Thérèse Hulme and the young people that she’s worked with during the last seventeen years. Thérèse has taught many learners in some of the most marginalized communities in the Western Cape how to write and how to find their voices. Her narrative approach will, in turn, inspire teachers to shape a writing culture in their classroom. To assist teachers, the book contains many questions meant to help teachers critically examine existing practices and beliefs. The book also has practical exercises for learners, questions for teachers to ponder and discussions meant to bring new insights to the CAPS goals. It is especially the stories, poems, drama texts and spoken word pieces by the young writers that will capture readers’ imagination. |
| calculated risk bad at math: The Failure of Risk Management Douglas W. Hubbard, 2009-04-27 An essential guide to the calibrated risk analysis approach The Failure of Risk Management takes a close look at misused and misapplied basic analysis methods and shows how some of the most popular risk management methods are no better than astrology! Using examples from the 2008 credit crisis, natural disasters, outsourcing to China, engineering disasters, and more, Hubbard reveals critical flaws in risk management methods–and shows how all of these problems can be fixed. The solutions involve combinations of scientifically proven and frequently used methods from nuclear power, exploratory oil, and other areas of business and government. Finally, Hubbard explains how new forms of collaboration across all industries and government can improve risk management in every field. Douglas W. Hubbard (Glen Ellyn, IL) is the inventor of Applied Information Economics (AIE) and the author of Wiley's How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of Intangibles in Business (978-0-470-11012-6), the #1 bestseller in business math on Amazon. He has applied innovative risk assessment and risk management methods in government and corporations since 1994. Doug Hubbard, a recognized expert among experts in the field of risk management, covers the entire spectrum of risk management in this invaluable guide. There are specific value-added take aways in each chapter that are sure to enrich all readers including IT, business management, students, and academics alike —Peter Julian, former chief-information officer of the New York Metro Transit Authority. President of Alliance Group consulting In his trademark style, Doug asks the tough questions on risk management. A must-read not only for analysts, but also for the executive who is making critical business decisions. —Jim Franklin, VP Enterprise Performance Management and General Manager, Crystal Ball Global Business Unit, Oracle Corporation. |
| calculated risk bad at math: Don’t! Michael Craughwell, 2023-11-21 Larger Than Life Swords – and Larger Than Life Injuries Micheal Craughwell’s homemade weapons were an overwhelming success the moment they hit the Internet, from his replica of Cloud Strife’s sword to his infamous Pride Month-themed Big Gay Sword. His road to success was far from straightforward, though, and involved more than a few cuts, scrapes, and encounters with nitric acid. In this gory and gut-busting essay collection, Michael tells the story of his rise to prominence as YouTube’s favorite blacksmith, all by recounting the most dangerous (and hilarious) stories from his career. Dive into a collection of essays with titles like: • Art College and the Crushing of My Balls • A Million Steel Splinters in my Skin • America! (And Boiling My Face Off) • Lathes and the Times My Swords Have Bit Me Sword lovers, weapon enthusiasts, and nerds of all kinds will marvel at the scope of the giant, impractical video game weapons described in this book – and anyone with a curious streak will enjoy learning why you should absolutely not try this at home. With heart, humor, and blood (lots of blood), Michael shows us what it takes to work with your hands. |
| calculated risk bad at math: The Calculus Diaries Jennifer Ouellette, 2010-08-31 Kiss My Math meets A Tour of the Calculus Jennifer Ouellette never took math in college, mostly because she-like most people-assumed that she wouldn't need it in real life. But then the English-major-turned-award-winning-science-writer had a change of heart and decided to revisit the equations and formulas that had haunted her for years. The Calculus Diaries is the fun and fascinating account of her year spent confronting her math phobia head on. With wit and verve, Ouellette shows how she learned to apply calculus to everything from gas mileage to dieting, from the rides at Disneyland to shooting craps in Vegas-proving that even the mathematically challenged can learn the fundamentals of the universal language. |
| calculated risk bad at math: The Girl Who Knew Even More Commander S. T. Bolivar III, 2017-10-17 Spring has come to Munchem Academy. The snow is melting, the roof is leaking, and Mr. Larimore is now in charge. Mattie is worried, though. Mr. Larimore is taking the whole let's help Headmaster Rooney get back on his feet thing seriously, and he's whispering all sorts of suggestions to the highly suggestible Rooney. Then there's the matter of the school's weather. It's getting . . . strange. Mini-tornados sweep up out of nowhere. Rain pours inside. And there was that snowstorm-that yellow snowstorm-that lasted for two days. Once Mattie, Caroline, and Eliot figure out what's causing the chaos (the Weather-matic 9000), who's causing the chaos (Mr. Larimore), and why it's a chaotic an idea (weather weapons!), they need to act. Fast. There's only one thing to do: save Mr. Larimore-and the world-from Mr. Larimore. It's a tall order for a short kid, but Mattie has a plan. After all, what's a little breaking and entering among friends? |
| calculated risk bad at math: See No Evil E. Banks, 2010-11-03 The story of the recent global economic crisis is told in the words of the main players in the drama. Including quotes from bankers, rating agencies, housing agencies, regulators, politicians and media figures. Erik Banks' latest book shows why we are doomed to experience further financial crises in the future. |
| calculated risk bad at math: Eric Sink on the Business of Software Eric Sink, 2006-12-20 Eric.Weblog() has 50,000 regular users; consistently included on the list of the most popular feeds in bloglines.com Sink founded a company that was named to the Inc 500 Book explains tough topics like marketing and hiring, in terms that programmers understand—all sprinkled with a touch of humor |
| calculated risk bad at math: A Curriculum of Fear Nicole Nguyen, 2016-08-15 Welcome to Milton High School, where fear is a teacher’s best tool and every student is a soldier in the war on terror. A struggling public school outside the nation’s capital, Milton sat squarely at the center of two trends: growing fear of resurgent terrorism and mounting pressure to run schools as job training sites. In response, the school established a specialized Homeland Security program. A Curriculum of Fear takes us into Milton for a day-to-day look at how such a program works, what it means to students and staff, and what it says about the militarization of U.S. public schools and, more broadly, the state of public education in this country. Nicole Nguyen guides us through a curriculum of national security–themed classes, electives, and internships designed through public-private partnerships with major defense contractors like Northrop Grumman and federal agencies like the NSA. She introduces us to students in the process of becoming a corps of “diverse workers” for the national security industry, learning to be “vigilant” citizens; and she shows us the everyday realities of a program intended to improve the school, revitalize the community, and eliminate the achievement gap. With reference to critical work on school militarization, neoliberal school reform, the impact of the global war on terror on everyday life, and the political uses of fear, A Curriculum of Fear maps the contexts that gave rise to Milton’s Homeland Security program and its popularity. Ultimately, as the first ethnography of such a program, the book provides a disturbing close encounter with the new normal imposed by the global war on terror—a school at once under siege and actively preparing for the siege itself. |
| calculated risk bad at math: ENGLISH-VINGLISH MATH-BATH CHHATRA PAL VERMA, 2020-03-27 This book is a bouquet of various oddities and strange grammatical and funny usages of English language, English Riddles, Mathematics, Math-Tricks, Math-Matrixes, Math-Magics, Math-Riddles, and Math-Medics. |
| calculated risk bad at math: Fundamentals of Actuarial Mathematics S. David Promislow, 2011-01-06 This book provides a comprehensive introduction to actuarial mathematics, covering both deterministic and stochastic models of life contingencies, as well as more advanced topics such as risk theory, credibility theory and multi-state models. This new edition includes additional material on credibility theory, continuous time multi-state models, more complex types of contingent insurances, flexible contracts such as universal life, the risk measures VaR and TVaR. Key Features: Covers much of the syllabus material on the modeling examinations of the Society of Actuaries, Canadian Institute of Actuaries and the Casualty Actuarial Society. (SOA-CIA exams MLC and C, CSA exams 3L and 4.) Extensively revised and updated with new material. Orders the topics specifically to facilitate learning. Provides a streamlined approach to actuarial notation. Employs modern computational methods. Contains a variety of exercises, both computational and theoretical, together with answers, enabling use for self-study. An ideal text for students planning for a professional career as actuaries, providing a solid preparation for the modeling examinations of the major North American actuarial associations. Furthermore, this book is highly suitable reference for those wanting a sound introduction to the subject, and for those working in insurance, annuities and pensions. |
| calculated risk bad at math: A Practical Guide for Making Decisions Daniel D. Wheeler, Irving Lester Janis, 1980 |
| calculated risk bad at math: Brains Inventing Themselves Conrad P. Pritscher, 2012-01-01 Neuroscience has found that neuroplasticity of brain cells allows brains to invent themselves. Remodeling of brains can be facilitated by schools and universities. What may be done to accelerate that positive inventing so as to prepare for rapidly accelerating change? As an IBM advertisement reads: “It is time to ask smarter questions.” This book helps the reader do that. What is worse than being blind to something? “Being blind to your blindness” says Eric Haseltine who has worked for both Disney and the National Security Agency. Being blind to what our brains can do is slowly changing. Brain researchers recently found that we can now be our own subjects of brain experimentation. Research shows how one can change one’s brain by changing one’s mind. In her 2010 high school valedictorian speech Erica Goldson courageously said: “The majority of students are put through the same brainwashing techniques in order to create a complacent labor force working in the interests of large corporations and secretive government, and worst of all, they are completely unaware of it.” This book shows professors, teachers, parents, and interested citizens how students can become aware and reach higher levels of consciousness. |
| calculated risk bad at math: Evidence-Based Medicine E-Book Sharon E. Straus, Paul Glasziou, W. Scott Richardson, R. Brian Haynes, 2018-02-27 Now in its fifth edition, this classic introduction to the practice and teaching of evidence-based medicine is written for busy clinicians at any stage of their career who want to learn how to practise and teach evidence-based medicine (EBM). It is short and practical, emphasizing direct clinical application of EBM and tactics to practise and teach EBM in real-time. The online toolkit includes Critical appraisal worksheets, Educational prescription, Pocket Cards, EBM calculators, Educational Prescriptions, Clinical Questions log, Self evaluations. - Thoroughly updated with examples from latest evidence/studies. - Revised electronic ancillaries, now available online - Expanded coverage of audit and measuring quality improvement. - Teaching moments now indexed for easy reference. - New contributing authors Reena Pattani and Areti Angeliki Veroniki |
| calculated risk bad at math: All of Statistics Larry Wasserman, 2013-12-11 Taken literally, the title All of Statistics is an exaggeration. But in spirit, the title is apt, as the book does cover a much broader range of topics than a typical introductory book on mathematical statistics. This book is for people who want to learn probability and statistics quickly. It is suitable for graduate or advanced undergraduate students in computer science, mathematics, statistics, and related disciplines. The book includes modern topics like non-parametric curve estimation, bootstrapping, and classification, topics that are usually relegated to follow-up courses. The reader is presumed to know calculus and a little linear algebra. No previous knowledge of probability and statistics is required. Statistics, data mining, and machine learning are all concerned with collecting and analysing data. |
| calculated risk bad at math: Teaching Evidence-Based Medicine Daniella A. Zipkin, 2022-12-23 Practicing evidence-based medicine is widely regarded both as best clinical practice, and as the cornerstone of meeting the ACGME competencies in Practice-Based Learning and Improvement. Training programs recognize the need to teach the skills of EBM and yet struggle with readily available content and guidance on putting together a curriculum. Time frames for delivering curricula in residency can be very tight, often restricted to scattered one hour conferences. This book provides a modular curriculum structure for instructors, with each topic area taking up one section, or one hour of instructional time. Developed over the past 14 years as an introductory course for interns in the internal medicine residency program at Duke, the curriculum will cover core content areas in evidence-based medicine and best teaching practices for them and skills such as literature searching and applying evidence to patients. Most importantly, it will center on actual patient questions and use current literature as examples that instructors can use as teaching exercises. There will also be ample diagrams that have been shown to be effective with learners and each module will include a video tutorial of a sample teaching session, including visual aids and small group teaching techniques. The curriculum can be implemented in any time frame necessary, compressed or longitudinal, to a variety of learners. This is an ideal guide for residency program directors and core faculty, either within internal medicine or more broadly in family medicine, pediatrics, surgery, OB-gyn, as well as medical school faculty for use with students. |
| calculated risk bad at math: Tiamat's Wrath James S. A. Corey, 2019-03-26 The eighth book in the NYT bestselling Expanse series, Tiamat's Wrath finds the crew of the Rocinante fighting an underground war against a nearly invulnerable authoritarian empire, with James Holden a prisoner of the enemy. Now a Prime Original series. HUGO AWARD WINNER FOR BEST SERIES Thirteen hundred gates have opened to solar systems around the galaxy. But as humanity builds its interstellar empire in the alien ruins, the mysteries and threats grow deeper. In the dead systems where gates lead to stranger things than alien planets, Elvi Okoye begins a desperate search to discover the nature of a genocide that happened before the first human beings existed, and to find weapons to fight a war against forces at the edge of the imaginable. But the price of that knowledge may be higher than she can pay. At the heart of the empire, Teresa Duarte prepares to take on the burden of her father's godlike ambition. The sociopathic scientist Paolo Cordozar and the Mephistophelian prisoner James Holden are only two of the dangers in a palace thick with intrigue, but Teresa has a mind of her own and secrets even her father the emperor doesn't guess. And throughout the wide human empire, the scattered crew of the Rocinante fights a brave rear-guard action against Duarte's authoritarian regime. Memory of the old order falls away, and a future under Laconia's eternal rule -- and with it, a battle that humanity can only lose -- seems more and more certain. Because against the terrors that lie between worlds, courage and ambition will not be enough. . . The Expanse Leviathan Wakes Caliban's War Abaddon's Gate Cibola Burn Nemesis Games Babylon's Ashes Persepolis Rising Tiamat's Wrath Leviathan Falls Memory's Legion The Expanse Short Fiction Drive The Butcher of Anderson Station Gods of Risk The Churn The Vital Abyss Strange Dogs Auberon The Sins of Our Fathers |
| calculated risk bad at math: The Only Poker Book You'll Ever Need John Wenzel, 2006-05-30 The Only Poker Book You’ll Ever Need makes picking up the smartest tips and slyest tricks a cinch. In a brief, to-the-point format, this plucky guide helps readers master the basics of play and use poker probability and psychology to the best advantage. This savvy, straight-shooting handbook explains the ins and outs of the most popular poker games; the vitals on betting, bluffing, and blinds; the secrets to zeroing-in on other players’ tells; and so many more tips and strategies. Whether a novice is planning her first at-home poker party or a card shark is craving casino action, this book is a sure bet every time. |
| calculated risk bad at math: Creating an Information Security Program from Scratch Walter Williams, 2021-09-14 This book is written for the first security hire in an organization, either an individual moving into this role from within the organization or hired into the role. More and more, organizations are realizing that information security requires a dedicated team with leadership distinct from information technology, and often the people who are placed into those positions have no idea where to start or how to prioritize. There are many issues competing for their attention, standards that say do this or do that, laws, regulations, customer demands, and no guidance on what is actually effective. This book offers guidance on approaches that work for how you prioritize and build a comprehensive information security program that protects your organization. While most books targeted at information security professionals explore specific subjects with deep expertise, this book explores the depth and breadth of the field. Instead of exploring a technology such as cloud security or a technique such as risk analysis, this book places those into the larger context of how to meet an organization's needs, how to prioritize, and what success looks like. Guides to the maturation of practice are offered, along with pointers for each topic on where to go for an in-depth exploration of each topic. Unlike more typical books on information security that advocate a single perspective, this book explores competing perspectives with an eye to providing the pros and cons of the different approaches and the implications of choices on implementation and on maturity, as often a choice on an approach needs to change as an organization grows and matures. |
| calculated risk bad at math: The Mincing Mockingbird Guide to Troubled Birds Mockingbird The Mincing, 2014-06-12 A humorous, illustrated, pocket field guide describing where to find—or where to avoid—the most disturbed North American birds. The Mincing Mockingbird Guide to Troubled Birds allows anyone to quickly identify psychotic, violent or mentally unstable bird species—and provides the perfect gag gift for your bird loving (or fearing) friends and family. Throughout the book the reader will discover tales of murder, assault, mental breakdowns, obesity, drug abuse and infidelity among the birds. This guide is used and recommended by law enforcement agencies and ignored by leading ornithologists. We are only just discovering the reality of our avian adversaries, with their reptilian brains, their appetites for mayhem and the fact that they fly mostly to spite us. To ignore the information found within this volume may be at the peril of your very life. Perfect for: • White elephant gifts • Animal lover gifts • Bird lovers gift • Gag gifts • Funny gifts • Christmas gifts |
| calculated risk bad at math: How Google Tests Software James A. Whittaker, Jason Arbon, Jeff Carollo, 2012-03-21 2012 Jolt Award finalist! Pioneering the Future of Software Test Do you need to get it right, too? Then, learn from Google. Legendary testing expert James Whittaker, until recently a Google testing leader, and two top Google experts reveal exactly how Google tests software, offering brand-new best practices you can use even if you’re not quite Google’s size...yet! Breakthrough Techniques You Can Actually Use Discover 100% practical, amazingly scalable techniques for analyzing risk and planning tests...thinking like real users...implementing exploratory, black box, white box, and acceptance testing...getting usable feedback...tracking issues...choosing and creating tools...testing “Docs & Mocks,” interfaces, classes, modules, libraries, binaries, services, and infrastructure...reviewing code and refactoring...using test hooks, presubmit scripts, queues, continuous builds, and more. With these techniques, you can transform testing from a bottleneck into an accelerator–and make your whole organization more productive! |
| calculated risk bad at math: The Mathematics of Poker Bill Chen, Jerrod Ankenman, 2006 For decades, the highest level of poker have been dominated by players who have learned the game by playing it, road gamblers' who have cultivated intuition for the game and are adept at reading other players' hands from betting patterns and physical tells. Over the last five to ten years, a whole new breed has risen to prominence within the poker community. Applying the tools of computer science and mathematics to poker and sharing the information across the Internet, these players have challenged many of the assumptions that underlay traditional approaches to the game.' |
| calculated risk bad at math: Powerful Profits From Craps Victor H Royer, 2014-07-29 Beat The House With Tips From One Of Today's Top Pros Successful players know that Craps offers some of the best odds of winning of any casino game—but only if you know the tips and tricks the pros use! With the expert, easy-to-follow advice in this fully updated book, you'll learn: Why playing Craps may be your best bet at any casino How to virtually eliminate the House Edge Tricks some casinos use to lower your payouts Why all Craps games aren't the same How to find a casino that gives you the best chance of winning And much, much more! Through his nationally renowned gambling column, Victor H. Royer has helped thousands become more successful players, and he can help you, too! With his proven, step-by-step method, he takes the mystery out of playing Craps, from understanding the basic rules and etiquette to wagering strategies that can really increase your odds. You'll be able to play immediately, and as your understanding and confidence grow, you'll learn the nuances of the game and discover why so many professional gamblers think Craps is your best casino bet. If you'd like to become a more successful player, get Powerful Profits from Craps, because gambling is fun—but winning is better! 95,000 Words |
| calculated risk bad at math: Smart Growth Whitney Johnson, 2022-01-11 A Wall Street Journal bestseller Named one of 10 Best New Management Books for 2022 by Thinkers50 Creating a culture of learning and growth. Growth is the goal. Helping people develop their potential—enabling them to articulate and become the self they want to be, are capable of being, and that best serves them and others in the short and long term—is what we as individuals and leaders strive toward. But how do we grow? It turns out it happens in a predictable way, which means we can understand where we are in our growth and chart a way forward. In this compact, complete guide, Whitney Johnson dives more deeply than ever into the S Curve of Learning so that you can envision how growth happens and direct yourself and others in your organization to create a culture that fosters it. The growth and learning journey comes in three phases: the Launch Point, the Sweet Spot, and Mastery. Compelling examples of successful people will show you when and why growth is slow, how to keep going, what to do when growth and learning are almost too fast to keep up with, and how to leap from one growth journey to another. As individuals grow, so do organizations and societies. Growth is learning put into action—action that betters the world as we better ourselves and our small niches, both personal and professional, within it. Growth occurs when learning is internalized—when we try something new and invest the effort to move it from being something we do to something we are. |
| calculated risk bad at math: Financial Risk Management Frantz Maurer, 2024-01-23 Protect your organization against financial misconduct In Financial Risk Management: From Metrics to Human Conduct, Frantz Maurer delivers a thorough and practical review of the core methods used by professionals in the real world to reduce the risk of financial misconduct. Starting with the key points of banking regulation, the author then describes in simple terms the most extensively used risk metrics in the banking industry. Readers can fully grasp and implement the techniques discussed within without a strong background in probabilities or statistics. The last part of the book focuses on conduct risk markers and show how to implement a conduct risk index that benchmarks the conduct of natural risk-takers like traders. The author describes how to marry this simple approach to financial risk with a conduct risk index that benchmarks the conduct of natural risk-takers, like traders. Readers will also find: Step-by-step guidance on how to apply common risk indicators to real-world situations Actionable advice for improving the resilience of financial institutions against individual misconduct and misbehavior A holistic and non-quantitative approach to a subject of critical importance, Financial Risk Management: From Metrics to Human Conduct will earn a place in the libraries of risk managers, compliance professionals, and master's level students in business administration and finance. |
| calculated risk bad at math: Real-World Decision Making Morris Altman, 2015-06-23 The first and only encyclopedia to focus on the economic and financial behaviors of consumers, investors, and organizations, including an exploration of how people make good—and bad—economic decisions. Traditional economic theories speculate how and when people should spend money. But consumers don't always behave as expected and often adopt strategies that might appear unorthodox yet are, at times, more effective than the rule prescribed by conventional wisdom. This groundbreaking text examines the ways in which people make financial decisions, whether it is because they are smart but atypical in their choices ... or just irrational decision makers. A leading authority on behavioral economics, Morris Altman and more than 150 expert contributors delve into key concepts in behavioral economics, economic psychology, behavioral finance, neuroeconomics, experimental economics, and institutional economics to help inform economic models based on reality, not theory. Through 250 informative entries, the book explores various aspects of the subject including decision making, economic analysis, and public policy. In addition to introducing concepts to readers new to the subject, the book sheds light on more advanced financial topics in a manner that is objective, comprehensive, and accessible. |
| calculated risk bad at math: Thriller 2: Stories You Just Can't Put Down Kathleen Antrim, Gary Braver, Sean Chercover, Blake Crouch, Jeffery Deaver, Robert Ferrigno, 2010-05-01 When some of the top thriller writers in the world came together in Thriller: Stories to Keep You Up All Night, they became a part of one of the most successful short-story anthologies ever published. The highly anticipated Thriller 2: Stories You Just Can't Put Down is even bigger. From Jeffery Deaver's tale of international terrorism to Lisa Jackson's dysfunctional family in the California wine country to Ridley Pearson's horrifying serial killer, this collection has something for everyone. Twenty-three bestselling and hot new authors in the genre have submitted original stories to make up this unforgettable blockbuster. |
| calculated risk bad at math: Indomitable W. C. Bauers, 2016-07-26 Lieutenant Paen barely survived her last encounter with the Lusitanian Empire. She's returned home to heal. But the nightmares won't stop. And she's got a newly reconstituted unit of green marines to whip into shape before they deploy. If the enemies of the RAW don't kill them first, she just might do the job herself--Dust jacket flap. |
| calculated risk bad at math: Risk Savvy Gerd Gigerenzer, 2014-04-17 A fascinating, practical guide to making better decisions with our money, health and personal lives from Gerd Gigerenzer, the author of Reckoning with Risk. Risk-taking is essential for innovation, fun, and the courage to face the uncertainties in life. Yet for many important decisions, we're often presented with statistics and probabilities that we don't really understand and we inevitably rely on experts in the relevant fields - policy makers, financial advisors, doctors - to analyse and choose for us. But what if they don't quite understand the way the information is presented either? How do we make sure we're asking doctors the right questions about proposed treatment? Is there a rule of thumb that could help choose the right partner? This entertaining book shows us how to recognize when we don't have all the information and know what to do about it. Gerd Gigerenzer looks at examples from every aspect of life to identify the reasons for our collective misunderstanding of the risks we face. He shows how we can all use simple rules to avoid being manipulated into unrealistic fears or hopes, to make better-informed decisions, and to learn to understand risk and uncertainty in our own lives. 'Gigerenzer is brilliant and his topic is fabulous' Steven Pinker 'Catchily optimistic and slyly funny' Guardian Gerd Gigerenzer is Director of the Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition at the Max Planck Institute for Human Development in Berlin and former Professor of Psychology at the University of Chicago. He is the author of several books on heuristics and decision making, including Reckoning with Risk. |
| calculated risk bad at math: How to be a Better You Adam Mient, 2018-07-23 Are you finally ready to be happier, healthier, and more successful? Do you ever wish your life could have a reset button? Are you feeling lost and without purpose? Are you ready for a positive change? This book offers simple truths that can help improve your life in the areas of mind health, success, and general wellness. It offers a baseline frame of reference that anyone can use to gain back some positive perspective and clarity in their life. When we lose ourselves so often goes the clear knowledge to get ourselves back. This book will help illuminate the path to becoming the best possible version of yourself you can be. Sometimes, our wins are simply how well we handled our losses. It's time to thrive! - Adam Mient Learn easy ways to: • Get back on the path to wellness • Be successful in all that you do • Feel better about yourself • Finally, be happy • Love your life • Find balance Hailed as the ultimate playbook to life. Like us on Facebook, How to Be a Better You Follow, Adam Mient on Twitter and Instagram @authoradammient Visit us at, adammient.com |
| calculated risk bad at math: The xVA Challenge Jon Gregory, 2015-09-24 A detailed, expert-driven guide to today's major financial point of interest The xVA Challenge: Counterparty Credit Risk, Funding, Collateral, and Capital is a practical guide from one of the leading and most influential credit practitioners, Jon Gregory. Focusing on practical methods, this informative guide includes discussion around the latest regulatory requirements, market practice, and academic thinking. Beginning with a look at the emergence of counterparty risk during the recent global financial crisis, the discussion delves into the quantification of firm-wide credit exposure and risk mitigation methods, such as netting and collateral. It also discusses thoroughly the xVA terms, notably CVA, DVA, FVA, ColVA, and KVA and their interactions and overlaps. The discussion of other aspects such as wrong-way risks, hedging, stress testing, and xVA management within a financial institution are covered. The extensive coverage and detailed treatment of what has become an urgent topic makes this book an invaluable reference for any practitioner, policy maker, or student. Counterparty credit risk and related aspects such as funding, collateral, and capital have become key issues in recent years, now generally characterized by the term 'xVA'. This book provides practical, in-depth guidance toward all aspects of xVA management. Market practice around counterparty credit risk and credit and debit value adjustment (CVA and DVA) The latest regulatory developments including Basel III capital requirements, central clearing, and mandatory collateral requirements The impact of accounting requirements such as IFRS 13 Recent thinking on the applications of funding, collateral, and capital adjustments (FVA, ColVA and KVA) The sudden realization of extensive counterparty risks has severely compromised the health of global financial markets. It's now a major point of action for all financial institutions, which have realized the growing importance of consistent treatment of collateral, funding, and capital alongside counterparty risk. The xVA Challenge: Counterparty Credit Risk, Funding, Collateral, and Capital provides expert perspective and real-world guidance for today's institutions. |
| calculated risk bad at math: Head First Statistics Dawn Griffiths, 2008-08-26 A comprehensive introduction to statistics that teaches the fundamentals with real-life scenarios, and covers histograms, quartiles, probability, Bayes' theorem, predictions, approximations, random samples, and related topics. |
CALCULATED Definition & Meaning - Merriam-Webster
The meaning of CALCULATED is apt, likely. How to use calculated in a sentence.
CALCULATED | English meaning - Cambridge Dictionary
CALCULATED definition: 1. planned or arranged in order to produce a particular effect: 2. planned or arranged in order to…. Learn more.
CALCULATED Definition & Meaning - Dictionary.com
Calculated definition: arrived at or determined by mathematical calculation; ascertained mathematically.. See examples of CALCULATED used in a sentence.
CALCULATED definition and meaning | Collins English Dictionary
If something is calculated to have a particular effect, it is specially done or arranged in order to have that effect. 2 meanings: 1. undertaken after considering the likelihood of success or …
Calculated - definition of calculated by The Free Dictionary
Define calculated. calculated synonyms, calculated pronunciation, calculated translation, English dictionary definition of calculated. adj. 1. Determined by mathematical calculation. 2. …
calculated adjective - Definition, pictures, pronunciation and …
Jun 11, 2017 · Definition of calculated adjective in Oxford Advanced Learner's Dictionary. Meaning, pronunciation, picture, example sentences, grammar, usage notes, synonyms and …
Calculated - Definition, Meaning & Synonyms - Vocabulary.com
If you do something in a calculated way, you've given it quite a bit of thought beforehand, and you're very deliberate in the way you do it. Sometimes calculated can have a positive …
CALCULATE Definition & Meaning - Merriam-Webster
The meaning of CALCULATE is to determine by mathematical processes. How to use calculate in a sentence.
CALCULATE | English meaning - Cambridge Dictionary
He's written a piece of software which calculates your tax returns for you. Calculate the result to two decimal places. I'll just calculate the total. I'm trying to calculate how long the project will …
CALCULATED definition in American English - Collins Online …
If something is calculated to have a particular effect, it is specially done or arranged in order to have that effect.
CALCULATED Definition & Meaning - Merriam-Webster
The meaning of CALCULATED is apt, likely. How to use calculated in a sentence.
CALCULATED | English meaning - Cambridge Dictionary
CALCULATED definition: 1. planned or arranged in order to produce a particular effect: 2. planned or arranged in order to…. Learn more.
CALCULATED Definition & Meaning - Dictionary.com
Calculated definition: arrived at or determined by mathematical calculation; ascertained mathematically.. See examples of CALCULATED used in a sentence.
CALCULATED definition and meaning | Collins English Dictionary
If something is calculated to have a particular effect, it is specially done or arranged in order to have that effect. 2 meanings: 1. undertaken after considering the likelihood of success or …
Calculated - definition of calculated by The Free Dictionary
Define calculated. calculated synonyms, calculated pronunciation, calculated translation, English dictionary definition of calculated. adj. 1. Determined by mathematical calculation. 2. …
calculated adjective - Definition, pictures, pronunciation and …
Jun 11, 2017 · Definition of calculated adjective in Oxford Advanced Learner's Dictionary. Meaning, pronunciation, picture, example sentences, grammar, usage notes, synonyms and …
Calculated - Definition, Meaning & Synonyms - Vocabulary.com
If you do something in a calculated way, you've given it quite a bit of thought beforehand, and you're very deliberate in the way you do it. Sometimes calculated can have a positive …
CALCULATE Definition & Meaning - Merriam-Webster
The meaning of CALCULATE is to determine by mathematical processes. How to use calculate in a sentence.
CALCULATE | English meaning - Cambridge Dictionary
He's written a piece of software which calculates your tax returns for you. Calculate the result to two decimal places. I'll just calculate the total. I'm trying to calculate how long the project will …
CALCULATED definition in American English - Collins Online …
If something is calculated to have a particular effect, it is specially done or arranged in order to have that effect.
